納西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb),暢銷書《黑天鵝》、《隨機漫步的傻瓜》作者,我們這個時代最偉大的思想者之一。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world.
Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.
In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better.
Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear.
Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.
Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it.
Praise for Antifragile
“Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.” — The Economist
“A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.” — Newsweek
“Revelatory . . . [Taleb] pulls the reader along with the logic of a Socrates.” — Chicago Tribune
“Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides . . . I will have to read it again. And again.” —Matt Ridley, The Wall Street Journal
“Trenchant and persuasive . . . Taleb’s insatiable polymathic curiosity knows no bounds. . . . You finish the book feeling braver and uplifted.” — New Statesman
“Antifragility isn’t just sound economic and political doctrine. It’s also the key to a good life.” — Fortune
“At once thought-provoking and brilliant.” —Los Angeles Times
From the Hardcover edition.
發表於2024-08-19
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
非書評,隻是一些定義。 脆弱性:不喜歡波動性、隨機性、不確定性、混亂、錯誤、壓力等的事物,希望其能處於一個和平、寜靜、有序和可預測的環境中。 強韌:擁有能抵抗衝擊保持原狀能力(復原力)性質或事物。 反脆弱性:在衝擊(廣義的混亂)中受益能變得更好的事物,偏好隨...
評分我們似乎生在一個充滿動蕩的世界中:大到地震海嘯次貸危機,小到夫妻吵架鄰裏不和,生活中總是充滿瞭意外和不安。每個個體都好似一葉扁舟——很不幸的是,你要航行在大海中,要麵對的卻是不知何時會襲來的滔天巨浪。 如何在這樣的世界裏讓自己活得更好,是許多人關心的問題...
評分0p 脆弱的事物喜歡安寜的環境,反脆弱的事物則從混亂中成長,強韌的事物不太在意環境。 0p 反脆弱性:從衝擊中受益,暴露在波動性、隨機性、混亂和壓力、風險和不確定性下時,反而能茁壯成長和壯大,從隨機事件中獲得有利結果。 0p 風會熄滅蠟燭,卻能使火越燒越旺...
評分寫的足夠好,好到我老人傢繼續寫一次筆記。 1. 每一次飛機的失事都降低瞭下一次事故發生的概率,每一傢銀行的崩潰都提高瞭下一傢銀行崩潰的概率。 2. 要讓經濟具有反脆弱性,並經曆所謂的變化。每個獨立的企業都有必要是脆弱的。較高層級事物的反脆弱性有賴於較低級事物的脆...
圖書標籤: 金融 混沌 投資 思維 心理學 原版外文圖書 經濟 管理
真的廢話連篇
評分有關復雜性對策的好書
評分http://www.economist.com/news/books-and-arts/21566619-how-surprises-make-you-stronger-stress-best 太囉嗦瞭,廢話連篇
評分taleb is an arrogant sob. his book, on the other hand, is an intellectual enjoyment. it draws from mathematical and philosophical arguments and presented fashionable ideas. noted when I say fashionable, i meant that his ideas are innovative and interesting. however, anyone who blindly fell for advice are most definitely not a good trader
評分他的黑天鵝大熱時,讀瞭,傻瞭,這書寫的是什麼水平啊?好瞭,這一本,還是一如既往的寫的很爛,是真的讀不下去
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載