納西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb),暢銷書《黑天鵝》、《隨機漫步的傻瓜》作者,我們這個時代最偉大的思想者之一。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world.
Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.
In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better.
Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear.
Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.
Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it.
Praise for Antifragile
“Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.” — The Economist
“A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.” — Newsweek
“Revelatory . . . [Taleb] pulls the reader along with the logic of a Socrates.” — Chicago Tribune
“Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides . . . I will have to read it again. And again.” —Matt Ridley, The Wall Street Journal
“Trenchant and persuasive . . . Taleb’s insatiable polymathic curiosity knows no bounds. . . . You finish the book feeling braver and uplifted.” — New Statesman
“Antifragility isn’t just sound economic and political doctrine. It’s also the key to a good life.” — Fortune
“At once thought-provoking and brilliant.” —Los Angeles Times
From the Hardcover edition.
這是我最近看到的最棒的書,用非常簡單明瞭的理論說明瞭大規模災難的根本原因,不是因為我們無法預測災難的到來,而是因為我們沒有建立足以有效應對隨機波動的結構——事實上,以人類的認識水平,預測未來本身就是不可能的任務,在這方麵的努力,隻需漏掉一個綫索,就難以阻止...
評分這是我最近看到的最棒的書,用非常簡單明瞭的理論說明瞭大規模災難的根本原因,不是因為我們無法預測災難的到來,而是因為我們沒有建立足以有效應對隨機波動的結構——事實上,以人類的認識水平,預測未來本身就是不可能的任務,在這方麵的努力,隻需漏掉一個綫索,就難以阻止...
評分”人群熙來熙往,不過名利二字“,世上大部分人都想掙錢,而且還是大錢。但是古語有雲,”小富由勤,大富由天“,什麼人賺到瞭大錢呢?是天上掉餡餅正好砸到瞭他們頭上賺到瞭大錢,還是他們根據知識和智慧知道餡餅要掉下來,預先在大概區域拿著大網等著最終接到瞭餡餅掙到大錢...
評分0p 脆弱的事物喜歡安寜的環境,反脆弱的事物則從混亂中成長,強韌的事物不太在意環境。 0p 反脆弱性:從衝擊中受益,暴露在波動性、隨機性、混亂和壓力、風險和不確定性下時,反而能茁壯成長和壯大,從隨機事件中獲得有利結果。 0p 風會熄滅蠟燭,卻能使火越燒越旺...
他的黑天鵝大熱時,讀瞭,傻瞭,這書寫的是什麼水平啊?好瞭,這一本,還是一如既往的寫的很爛,是真的讀不下去
评分有股說不齣味道的民科味兒。
评分有股說不齣味道的民科味兒。
评分寫那麼多難讀的句子來錶達一個和Black swan差不多的主題,作者絕逼又是一個用生命在裝逼的銀。。。
评分寫那麼多難讀的句子來錶達一個和Black swan差不多的主題,作者絕逼又是一個用生命在裝逼的銀。。。
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