納西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb),暢銷書《黑天鵝》、《隨機漫步的傻瓜》作者,我們這個時代最偉大的思想者之一。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world.
Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.
In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better.
Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear.
Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.
Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it.
Praise for Antifragile
“Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.” — The Economist
“A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.” — Newsweek
“Revelatory . . . [Taleb] pulls the reader along with the logic of a Socrates.” — Chicago Tribune
“Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides . . . I will have to read it again. And again.” —Matt Ridley, The Wall Street Journal
“Trenchant and persuasive . . . Taleb’s insatiable polymathic curiosity knows no bounds. . . . You finish the book feeling braver and uplifted.” — New Statesman
“Antifragility isn’t just sound economic and political doctrine. It’s also the key to a good life.” — Fortune
“At once thought-provoking and brilliant.” —Los Angeles Times
From the Hardcover edition.
發表於2025-01-24
Antifragile 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
(注:該文已於3月3日在《經濟觀察報》上發錶) 介紹這本書之前,很有必要介紹一下本書作者:納西姆·尼古拉斯·塔勒布。這位來自於黎巴嫩艾姆雲的“漫遊者”可謂是一個“天纔”:在商業領域,他是安皮裏卡資本公司的創辦人,被業界譽為深有影響的商業思想傢,在學術領域,他是...
評分《反脆弱》是一本很容易引起誤讀的書。《黑天鵝》、《隨機緻富的傻瓜》更正瞭大部分人的決定論的或者機械論的舊世界觀,但實際上,二戰前後,幾乎沒有一個西方學科不是采取概率論和統計學的世界觀瞭,換言之,西方在二戰後,有一個世界觀和方法論的革命,隻是由於特殊的原因,...
評分這本書我覺得寫得不好 但是裏麵有些東西對我影響很大,所以還是寫一些 不好的地方: 全書比較缺乏組織,經常不知所雲,缺乏對於中心觀點的歸納 而且語氣很強烈,導緻經常想要跟作者對罵 好的地方: --------下麵寫重點瞭----- 全書重點:flexibility & randomness 從小,我...
評分(書還沒看完,先吐槽一下免得忘瞭) 這個傢夥終於走上邪路瞭,天纔與瘋子僅一綫之隔,我看作者在嚮後者靠攏。本來作者對於經濟問題的分析還是很有建樹的,但在此書中他試圖將經濟問題分析的方法上升到哲學角度,並以此來指點科學和技術的發展,這個就犯瞭他自己總結的“教鳥...
評分寫的足夠好,好到我老人傢繼續寫一次筆記。 1. 每一次飛機的失事都降低瞭下一次事故發生的概率,每一傢銀行的崩潰都提高瞭下一傢銀行崩潰的概率。 2. 要讓經濟具有反脆弱性,並經曆所謂的變化。每個獨立的企業都有必要是脆弱的。較高層級事物的反脆弱性有賴於較低級事物的脆...
圖書標籤: 金融 混沌 投資 思維 心理學 原版外文圖書 經濟 管理
寫那麼多難讀的句子來錶達一個和Black swan差不多的主題,作者絕逼又是一個用生命在裝逼的銀。。。
評分有關復雜性對策的好書
評分有關復雜性對策的好書
評分他的黑天鵝大熱時,讀瞭,傻瞭,這書寫的是什麼水平啊?好瞭,這一本,還是一如既往的寫的很爛,是真的讀不下去
評分有股說不齣味道的民科味兒。
Antifragile 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載