納西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb),暢銷書《黑天鵝》、《隨機漫步的傻瓜》作者,我們這個時代最偉大的思想者之一。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world.
Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.
In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better.
Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear.
Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.
Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it.
Praise for Antifragile
“Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.” — The Economist
“A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.” — Newsweek
“Revelatory . . . [Taleb] pulls the reader along with the logic of a Socrates.” — Chicago Tribune
“Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides . . . I will have to read it again. And again.” —Matt Ridley, The Wall Street Journal
“Trenchant and persuasive . . . Taleb’s insatiable polymathic curiosity knows no bounds. . . . You finish the book feeling braver and uplifted.” — New Statesman
“Antifragility isn’t just sound economic and political doctrine. It’s also the key to a good life.” — Fortune
“At once thought-provoking and brilliant.” —Los Angeles Times
From the Hardcover edition.
發表於2024-11-20
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
寫的足夠好,好到我老人傢繼續寫一次筆記。 1. 每一次飛機的失事都降低瞭下一次事故發生的概率,每一傢銀行的崩潰都提高瞭下一傢銀行崩潰的概率。 2. 要讓經濟具有反脆弱性,並經曆所謂的變化。每個獨立的企業都有必要是脆弱的。較高層級事物的反脆弱性有賴於較低級事物的脆...
評分非書評,隻是一些定義。 脆弱性:不喜歡波動性、隨機性、不確定性、混亂、錯誤、壓力等的事物,希望其能處於一個和平、寜靜、有序和可預測的環境中。 強韌:擁有能抵抗衝擊保持原狀能力(復原力)性質或事物。 反脆弱性:在衝擊(廣義的混亂)中受益能變得更好的事物,偏好隨...
評分 評分這是我最近看到的最棒的書,用非常簡單明瞭的理論說明瞭大規模災難的根本原因,不是因為我們無法預測災難的到來,而是因為我們沒有建立足以有效應對隨機波動的結構——事實上,以人類的認識水平,預測未來本身就是不可能的任務,在這方麵的努力,隻需漏掉一個綫索,就難以阻止...
圖書標籤: 金融 混沌 投資 思維 心理學 原版外文圖書 經濟 管理
有股說不齣味道的民科味兒。
評分:無
評分寫那麼多難讀的句子來錶達一個和Black swan差不多的主題,作者絕逼又是一個用生命在裝逼的銀。。。
評分真的廢話連篇
評分Not recommend, chaoes, not systematic, being innovative to be innovative.
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載