納西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb),暢銷書《黑天鵝》、《隨機漫步的傻瓜》作者,我們這個時代最偉大的思想者之一。
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive in an uncertain world.
Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls “antifragile” is that category of things that not only gain from chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.
In The Black Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In Antifragile, Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better and better.
Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call “efficient” not efficient at all? Why do government responses and social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job? How did the sinking of the Titanic save lives? The book spans innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear.
Antifragile is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.
Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make it.
Praise for Antifragile
“Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining.” — The Economist
“A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty, randomness, and error . . . It may just change our lives.” — Newsweek
“Revelatory . . . [Taleb] pulls the reader along with the logic of a Socrates.” — Chicago Tribune
“Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine phrases and intriguing asides . . . I will have to read it again. And again.” —Matt Ridley, The Wall Street Journal
“Trenchant and persuasive . . . Taleb’s insatiable polymathic curiosity knows no bounds. . . . You finish the book feeling braver and uplifted.” — New Statesman
“Antifragility isn’t just sound economic and political doctrine. It’s also the key to a good life.” — Fortune
“At once thought-provoking and brilliant.” —Los Angeles Times
From the Hardcover edition.
發表於2024-12-24
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
這是我最近看到的最棒的書,用非常簡單明瞭的理論說明瞭大規模災難的根本原因,不是因為我們無法預測災難的到來,而是因為我們沒有建立足以有效應對隨機波動的結構——事實上,以人類的認識水平,預測未來本身就是不可能的任務,在這方麵的努力,隻需漏掉一個綫索,就難以阻止...
評分一個玻璃杯美美地放在桌子上,當摔到地上的時候它會瞬間破碎,所以玻璃杯就是脆弱的;如果摔到地上的是一個塑料杯,它不會破碎而會在地上彈兩下,所以塑料杯是強韌的;想象一下有種杯子,當摔到地下的時候,它非但沒有破碎反而變成瞭兩個杯子,這個時候它就是反脆弱的。 ...
評分文/ 《國傢商業》,安然 預測工具,無法捕捉“黑天鵝” 在《黑天鵝》中,塔勒布認為,我們的世界充滿最不可能發生但總是發生的事,因此我們必須學習如何由失序及混亂中獲取利益,這也是他的新書主旨。 塔勒布目前任教於紐約大學理工學院(Polytechnic Ins...
評分這是我最近看到的最棒的書,用非常簡單明瞭的理論說明瞭大規模災難的根本原因,不是因為我們無法預測災難的到來,而是因為我們沒有建立足以有效應對隨機波動的結構——事實上,以人類的認識水平,預測未來本身就是不可能的任務,在這方麵的努力,隻需漏掉一個綫索,就難以阻止...
評分雞湯與雞精之間一定有區彆,區彆並不體現在作者的國籍、標題是否惡俗、詞藻是否浮誇蒼白,甚至內容本身是否已被用濫; 區彆隻體現在,宣揚某種理念的人,自己在現實生活中到底是個怎樣的人:他是按照他所提倡的觀念去生活的嗎?他是否能在任何境遇下堅持自己的觀念,並對這種行...
圖書標籤: 金融 混沌 投資 思維 心理學 原版外文圖書 經濟 管理
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評分Not recommend, chaoes, not systematic, being innovative to be innovative.
評分他的黑天鵝大熱時,讀瞭,傻瞭,這書寫的是什麼水平啊?好瞭,這一本,還是一如既往的寫的很爛,是真的讀不下去
評分有關復雜性對策的好書
評分http://www.economist.com/news/books-and-arts/21566619-how-surprises-make-you-stronger-stress-best 太囉嗦瞭,廢話連篇
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載