Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to problems of uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. He spent two decades as a trader before becoming a philosophical essayist and academic researcher. Although he now spends most of his time either working in intense seclusion in his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute. His main subject matter is "decision making under opacity", that is, a map and a protocol on how we should live in a world we don't understand.
His works are grouped under the general title Incerto (latin for uncertainty), composed of a trilogy accessible in any order (Antifragile, The Black Swan, and Fooled by Randomness) plus two addenda: a book of philosophical aphorisms (The Bed of Procrustes) and a freely available Technical Companion. Taleb's books have been published in thirty-three languages.
Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.
From the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how to benefit from disorder.
In The Black Swan Taleb outlined a problem, and his revelatory new book Antifragile offers a definitive solution: how to live in a world that is unpredicatable, chaotic, and full of shocks, and how to thrive during periods of disaster. Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. For what Taleb calls the 'antifragile' is beyond the merely robust; it benefits from shocks, uncertainty and stressors. Antifragile is about what to do when we don't understand. It is a new word because it is a new concept.
Many of the greatest breakthroughs in human endeavour come from the innovation by trial and error that is part of antifragility. And some of the best systems we know of, including natural selection and evolution, have antifragility at their heart. How did the disaster of the sinking of the Titanic bring us closer to safety? Why does the stress on bones make us stronger? Why should you write a resignation letter on your first day in the office? Why should we detest the lack of accountability at the heart of capitalism?
The most successful of us, the most daring and creative will take advantage of disorder and invent new, more powerful opportunities and advantages beyond our expectations.
Irreverent and ambitious, Antifragile provides a blueprint for how to live-and thrive-in a world we don't understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to predict. Taleb's message is revolutionary: what is not antifragile will surely perish.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a radical and paradoxical philosopher for our times.He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's Polytechnic Institute.His books Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in thirty-three languages.Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.
發表於2024-11-14
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
這是我最近看到的最棒的書,用非常簡單明瞭的理論說明瞭大規模災難的根本原因,不是因為我們無法預測災難的到來,而是因為我們沒有建立足以有效應對隨機波動的結構——事實上,以人類的認識水平,預測未來本身就是不可能的任務,在這方麵的努力,隻需漏掉一個綫索,就難以阻止...
評分我們似乎生在一個充滿動蕩的世界中:大到地震海嘯次貸危機,小到夫妻吵架鄰裏不和,生活中總是充滿瞭意外和不安。每個個體都好似一葉扁舟——很不幸的是,你要航行在大海中,要麵對的卻是不知何時會襲來的滔天巨浪。 如何在這樣的世界裏讓自己活得更好,是許多人關心的問題...
評分非書評,隻是一些定義。 脆弱性:不喜歡波動性、隨機性、不確定性、混亂、錯誤、壓力等的事物,希望其能處於一個和平、寜靜、有序和可預測的環境中。 強韌:擁有能抵抗衝擊保持原狀能力(復原力)性質或事物。 反脆弱性:在衝擊(廣義的混亂)中受益能變得更好的事物,偏好隨...
評分《反脆弱》是一本很容易引起誤讀的書。《黑天鵝》、《隨機緻富的傻瓜》更正瞭大部分人的決定論的或者機械論的舊世界觀,但實際上,二戰前後,幾乎沒有一個西方學科不是采取概率論和統計學的世界觀瞭,換言之,西方在二戰後,有一個世界觀和方法論的革命,隻是由於特殊的原因,...
評分一個玻璃杯美美地放在桌子上,當摔到地上的時候它會瞬間破碎,所以玻璃杯就是脆弱的;如果摔到地上的是一個塑料杯,它不會破碎而會在地上彈兩下,所以塑料杯是強韌的;想象一下有種杯子,當摔到地下的時候,它非但沒有破碎反而變成瞭兩個杯子,這個時候它就是反脆弱的。 ...
圖書標籤: 思想 哲學 Taleb 金融 已有電子版 Psychology Economics
他的黑天鵝大熱時,讀瞭,傻瞭,這書寫的是什麼水平啊?好瞭,這一本,還是一如既往的寫的很爛,是真的讀不下去
評分又犯瞭西方著作的通病,一本書一個觀點
評分他的黑天鵝大熱時,讀瞭,傻瞭,這書寫的是什麼水平啊?好瞭,這一本,還是一如既往的寫的很爛,是真的讀不下去
評分又犯瞭西方著作的通病,一本書一個觀點
評分他的黑天鵝大熱時,讀瞭,傻瞭,這書寫的是什麼水平啊?好瞭,這一本,還是一如既往的寫的很爛,是真的讀不下去
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載