MARK BUCHANAN is a science writer who has worked on the editorial staff of Nature and as a features editor for New Scientist. He earned a Ph.D. in theoretical physics from the University of Virginia. He is also the author of Nexus, The Social Atom and Forecast.
Why do catastrophes happen? What sets off earthquakes, for example? What about mass extinctions of species? The outbreak of major wars? Massive traffic jams that seem to appear out of nowhere? Why does the stock market periodically suffer dramatic crashes? Why do some forest fires become superheated infernos that rage totally out of control?
Experts have never been able to explain the causes of any of these disasters. Now scientists have discovered that these seemingly unrelated cataclysms, both natural and human, almost certainly all happen for one fundamental reason. More than that, there is not and never will be any way to predict them.
Critically acclaimed science journalist Mark Buchanan tells the fascinating story of the discovery that there is a natural structure of instability woven into the fabric of our world. From humble beginnings studying the physics of sandpiles, scientists have learned that an astonishing range of things–Earth’s crust, cars on a highway, the market for stocks, and the tightly woven networks of human society–have a natural tendency to organize themselves into what’s called the “critical state,” in which they are poised on what Buchanan describes as the “knife-edge of instability.” The more places scientists have looked for the critical state, the more places they’ve found it, and some believe that the pervasiveness of instability must now be seen as a fundamental feature of our world.
Ubiquity is packed with stories of real-life catastrophes, such as the huge earthquake that in 1995 hit Kobe, Japan, killing 5,000 people; the forest fires that ravaged Yellowstone National Park in 1988; the stock market crash of 1987; the mass extinction that killed off the dinosaurs; and the outbreak of World War I. Combining literary flair with scientific rigor, Buchanan introduces the researchers who have pieced together the evidence of the critical state, explaining their ingenious work and unexpected insights in beautifully lucid prose.
At the dawn of this new century, Buchanan reveals, we are witnessing the emergence of an extraordinarily powerful new field of science that will help us comprehend the bewildering and unruly rhythms that dominate our lives and may even lead to a true science of the dynamics of human culture and history.
From the Hardcover edition.
發表於2024-11-16
Ubiquity 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
近幾年來颱灣發生的天然災害,以颱風與地震的影響最為嚴重,颱風的路徑尚有可觀測預防的機製,但對地震的預測卻沒有突破性的進展。許多人試圖找尋大地震的成因,認為大規模地震一定和小規模地震的成因不同,本書卻告訴我們,事實並非如此。 對混沌現象有所認識的讀者該記得下...
評分這是一本有關混沌,不確定性,分形,復雜係統的書,先不管內容如何,翻譯的是有夠差,明顯就是一外行翻譯的。 “分形”被翻譯成“不規則碎片” “正態分布”被翻譯成“正常分布”,你彆看到一個“normal”就正常啊。 “中心極限定理”被翻譯成“中央限定定理“,你倒緊跟中央腳...
評分這本科普的內容大緻勾起瞭我本科選修《非綫性物理》的內容,隻不過它舉的例子比當年的老師多瞭一些(尤其是中間和後麵幾章),並且錶達的更具體和更豐富。 作為一本科普書,這本書的前麵幾章寫的一般,開頭似乎有點陳詞濫調,但至少如果耐心讀下去,明白他要講的實際上是不同...
評分首先,讓人崩潰的是,書麵上的那個英文壓根不是英文書名。從中文也根本無法猜到英文書名是Ubiquity: Why Catastrophes Happen。這似乎也預示瞭本書的閱讀體驗。 從譯本中,可以感覺到原作非常具有科普文學的趣味性和嚴謹性。原作者旁徵博引,深入簡齣,飛梭在很多個學科的經緯...
評分這是一本有關混沌,不確定性,分形,復雜係統的書,先不管內容如何,翻譯的是有夠差,明顯就是一外行翻譯的。 “分形”被翻譯成“不規則碎片” “正態分布”被翻譯成“正常分布”,你彆看到一個“normal”就正常啊。 “中心極限定理”被翻譯成“中央限定定理“,你倒緊跟中央腳...
圖書標籤: 科普 混沌 復雜 數學 哲學 complexity 思想·科學·社會 非綫性
2002年齣版的書,當中大部分觀念現在看來已經有些陳舊。作者的第一本書,文字囉嗦淺白,簡單道理翻來覆去地講,太過冗餘。開頭的伏筆埋的好,而後麵的物理學知識卻過於淺顯,大多數時候隻是復述模型本身,卻沒有更為深入的物理分析,也是失望的。
評分看世界看曆史看市場有一個新角度
評分2002年齣版的書,當中大部分觀念現在看來已經有些陳舊。作者的第一本書,文字囉嗦淺白,簡單道理翻來覆去地講,太過冗餘。開頭的伏筆埋的好,而後麵的物理學知識卻過於淺顯,大多數時候隻是復述模型本身,卻沒有更為深入的物理分析,也是失望的。
評分2002年齣版的書,當中大部分觀念現在看來已經有些陳舊。作者的第一本書,文字囉嗦淺白,簡單道理翻來覆去地講,太過冗餘。開頭的伏筆埋的好,而後麵的物理學知識卻過於淺顯,大多數時候隻是復述模型本身,卻沒有更為深入的物理分析,也是失望的。
評分看世界看曆史看市場有一個新角度
Ubiquity 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載