Fooled by Randomness 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載


Fooled by Randomness

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Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi 著者簡介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent two decades as a risk taker before becoming a full-time essayist and scholar focusing on practical and philosophical problems with chance, luck, and probability. His focus in on how different systems handle disorder.

He now spends most of his time in the intense seclusion of his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés. In addition to his life as a trader he spend several years as an academic researcher ( Distinguished Professor at New York University's School of Engineering, Dean's Professor at U. Mass Amherst).

He is the author of the Incerto (latin for uncertainty), accessible in any order (Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, and Fooled by Randomness) plus a freely available technical version, Silent Risk. Taleb has also published close to 55 academic and scholarly papers as a backup, technical footnotes to the Incerto in topics ranging from Statistical Physics to International affairs. The Incerto has more than 150 translations in 39 languages.

Taleb believes that prizes, honorary degrees, awards, and ceremonialism debase knowledge by turning it into a spectator sport.

""Imagine someone with the erudition of Pico de la Mirandola, the skepticism of Montaigne, solid mathematical training, a restless globetrotter, polyglot, enjoyer of fine wines, specialist of financial derivatives, irrepressible reader, and irascible to the point of readily slapping a disciple." La Tribune (Paris)

A giant of Mediterranean thought ... Now the hottest thinker in the world", London Times

"The most prophetic voice of all" GQ


Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi 圖書描述

Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.

Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb–veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan–has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill.

This book is about luck–or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill–the world of trading–Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives.

The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world’s wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness.

However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed–the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time–he embodies the “survival of the least fit.” Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru’s insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.

Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time

A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year

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Fooled by Randomness 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載

Fooled by Randomness 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載

Fooled by Randomness 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載



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Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi 讀後感

評分

評分

嗬嗬,一年半沒買閑書瞭,印象中上次破例是為瞭伍迪艾倫《門薩的娼妓》,口袋裏隻有25塊,八摺拿下定價25元的書,感覺竟像大大的賺瞭一筆。 這次在光閤作用找教材,尋未果,但又被我不小心瞄到瞭這一本。這次的經驗再次驗證瞭邊際效用遞減的逆否命題~~~ 書名本是Fooled By Rand...  

評分

英國曆史學傢尼耶爾•弗格森(Niall Ferguson)在《未曾發生的曆史》(Visual History)一書中讓偶然性在曆史進程中翩翩起舞,他設想瞭一係列人類在某些重大時刻可能進入的曆史分叉小徑,比如沒有剋倫威爾的英國,獨立戰爭遭遇失敗的美國和愛爾蘭,二戰中嚮希特勒投降的英國...  

評分

某同學嚮我推薦這本書的時候說,這是一本數學書,其中的內容有些晦澀難懂,需要花點功夫理解,但是最後還不失為一本對投資生涯有意義的書。於是我懷著敬畏之心開始瞭閱讀,可是我很快發現,與其說這是一本數學書,倒不如說這是本哲學書,而且是一本非常聰明的哲學書。 這位狂...  

評分

英國曆史學傢尼耶爾•弗格森(Niall Ferguson)在《未曾發生的曆史》(Visual History)一書中讓偶然性在曆史進程中翩翩起舞,他設想瞭一係列人類在某些重大時刻可能進入的曆史分叉小徑,比如沒有剋倫威爾的英國,獨立戰爭遭遇失敗的美國和愛爾蘭,二戰中嚮希特勒投降的英國...  

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出版者:Penguin
作者:Nassim Nicholas Taleb
出品人:
頁數:316
譯者:
出版時間:2007-3-29
價格:GBP 6.99
裝幀:Paperback
isbn號碼:9780141032740
叢書系列:

圖書標籤: 金融  思維  經濟  投資  randomness  思維工具  finance  economics   


Fooled by Randomness 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
想要找書就要到 本本書屋
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本頁
你會得到大驚喜!!

Fooled by Randomness pdf epub mobi 用戶評價

評分

書寫得很不錯

評分

真是讓人玩味無窮的一本書,而且結尾還不忘鼓勵對於概率翻雲覆雨手毫無還擊之力的人。我們什麼都不能改變,唯一能改變的隻有我們的行為,那麼請努力作一個有骨氣的人

評分

書寫得很不錯

評分

Taleb善於思考,不善於寫作。他的愛好還包括deadlift。

評分

整本書就是絮絮叨叨地在講什麼是期望。。。

Fooled by Randomness 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載


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