Advances in Decision Analysis 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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发表于2024-11-15

Advances in Decision Analysis 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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出版者:Cambridge Univ Pr

作者:Edwards, Ward (EDT)/ Miles, Ralph F. (EDT)/ Von Winterfeldt, Detlof (EDT)

出品人:

页数:638

译者:

出版时间:2007-7

价格:$ 56.50

装帧:Pap

isbn号码:9780521682305

丛书系列:

图书标签: 心理学判断与决策 decision-making decision-analysis OperationalResearch

Advances in Decision Analysis 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书图书描述

Decision analysis is a prescriptive theory that aids individuals or groups confronted with complex problems in a wide variety of contexts. By framing issues, identifying risks, eliciting stakeholder preferences, and suggesting alternative approaches, decision analysts can offer workable solutions in domains such as the environment, health and medicine, engineering and operations research, and public policy. This book is a mixture of historical and forward-looking essays on key topics in decision analysis. Part I covers the history and foundations of decision analysis. Part II discusses structuring decision problems, including the development of objectives and their attributes, and influence diagrams. Part III discusses probabilities and their elicitation and Bayes nets. Part IV discusses additive and multiplicative utilities, risk preferences, and 'option pricing' methods. Part V discusses risk analysis. Part VI puts decision analysis in a behavioral and organizational context. Part VII presents case studies of applications.

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Decision analysis is applied decision thy, very practical, uses tools from math, stats, and downstream economic thy. It should not complain the lack of decision analysis programs in universities, since it is too practical, really novel ideas the univs count on are from math and econ depts. L: BF448 .A38 2007

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