发表于2024-11-20
Images of the Future: The Twenty-First Century and Beyond 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书
图书标签: 未来学 当代台湾社会的族群想象
,~ nvo~l t t..ul luy<br > does more than pul a customary view in a new light. It suggests a different<br > causal relationship in human affairs.<br > By future is meant the public images, the focused expectations, of the<br > yet to come. These images may be positive or negative. If positive---to borrow<br > from Fred Polak s pioneering studies--they tell of a counterreality radically<br > different from the present, of another and better world in another time.<br > ~ Whether these positive images speak of a heavenly kingdom or the good<br > society here on earth, they provide meaning and hope. They pull a civilization<br > forward in search of the destiny the images foretell.<br >~;- ~ Images of the future, of course, have their roots in the shared mem-<br > ories of a culture. The images are born and refined in the light of specific<br > interpretations of the past. When the past is re-visioned by the charismatic<br >~ leaders of the times, new images of the future emerge to replace or challenge<br >"~e old. Nevertheless, in the consciousness of a civilization, images of the<br > ture speak to what will be or can be or should be. Thus they have their own<br >/dynamics their own power over the present and their own dialectic with it.A<br >~ ." , ~ ~<br > civilization can be described in terms of its images of the future. But e~en<br > more important, the actual future of a civilization--vigor and growth, or de-<br > cline and breakdown--is prefigured in the shared images of the future pos-<br > sessed by its people in the present. It is in this sense that the future is a pro-<br > |ogue to all history.<br >. The importance and timeliness of this inquiry into images of the<br > future derives from a crucial observation about Western civilization. In our<br > time,re seem to have finally exhausted the central images of the future that<br > have pulled us on, however erratically, in the past. These images are not<br > dead, for they still have their adherents. However, none seem to have the<br > power :to energize the public imagination in any collective sense. Instead,<br > with the residual power they still command, they compete with one another to<br > the point of extreme social divisiveness. In short, we have no comforting<br > images of greatness and progress that speak to all of us; we have no common<br > roots in some dominant vision, no shared dream uniquely fitting our historic<br > period.<br > By what processes this exhaustion of images takes place is difficult to<br > know. Sometimes, expectations are too long delayed and they lose their<br > appeal, or, having been partly achieved, the images are discovered to be in-<br > adequate. At other times the images become too greatly at variance with the<br > world that is. However it may be explained, what does seem clear in our his-<br > torte period is that the spiritual center of Western civilization has been rent,<br > I.a~Jy oIour central dogmas have been seriously weakened, and no existing<br >
Images of the Future: The Twenty-First Century and Beyond 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书