Complex mathematical and computational models are used in all areas of society and technology and yet model based science is increasingly contested or refuted, especially when models are applied to controversial themes in domains such as health, the environment or the economy. More stringent standards of proofs are demanded from model-based numbers, especially when these numbers represent potential financial losses, threats to human health or the state of the environment. Quantitative sensitivity analysis is generally agreed to be one such standard. Mathematical models are good at mapping assumptions into inferences. A modeller makes assumptions about laws pertaining to the system, about its status and a plethora of other, often arcane, system variables and internal model settings. To what extent can we rely on the model-based inference when most of these assumptions are fraught with uncertainties? Global Sensitivity Analysis offers an accessible treatment of such problems via quantitative sensitivity analysis, beginning with the first principles and guiding the reader through the full range of recommended practices with a rich set of solved exercises. The text explains the motivation for sensitivity analysis, reviews the required statistical concepts, and provides a guide to potential applications. The book: Provides a self-contained treatment of the subject, allowing readers to learn and practice global sensitivity analysis without further materials. Presents ways to frame the analysis, interpret its results, and avoid potential pitfalls. Features numerous exercises and solved problems to help illustrate the applications. Is authored by leading sensitivity analysis practitioners, combining a range of disciplinary backgrounds. Postgraduate students and practitioners in a wide range of subjects, including statistics, mathematics, engineering, physics, chemistry, environmental sciences, biology, toxicology, actuarial sciences, and econometrics will find much of use here. This book will prove equally valuable to engineers working on risk analysis and to financial analysts concerned with pricing and hedging.
發表於2024-11-09
Global Sensitivity Analysis 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
圖書標籤: 英文原版 社會 數學 思維 methodology
這是sensitivity analysis入門的非常好的一本書。介紹得很係統,給瞭很多例子和應用的場景來幫助理解。考慮到是給初學者用的,書裏沒有深究各個方法的細節,對不是統計專業的同學是福音。 書裏主要講的是variance-based sensitivity analysis。主要的好處就是model-less,並且對simulator的linearity沒有要求。 另外,作者常常在書裏引用自己的文章。雖然他是這方麵的大牛,但是還是感覺怪怪的。。。
評分看得好煩
評分這是sensitivity analysis入門的非常好的一本書。介紹得很係統,給瞭很多例子和應用的場景來幫助理解。考慮到是給初學者用的,書裏沒有深究各個方法的細節,對不是統計專業的同學是福音。 書裏主要講的是variance-based sensitivity analysis。主要的好處就是model-less,並且對simulator的linearity沒有要求。 另外,作者常常在書裏引用自己的文章。雖然他是這方麵的大牛,但是還是感覺怪怪的。。。
評分看得好煩
評分這是sensitivity analysis入門的非常好的一本書。介紹得很係統,給瞭很多例子和應用的場景來幫助理解。考慮到是給初學者用的,書裏沒有深究各個方法的細節,對不是統計專業的同學是福音。 書裏主要講的是variance-based sensitivity analysis。主要的好處就是model-less,並且對simulator的linearity沒有要求。 另外,作者常常在書裏引用自己的文章。雖然他是這方麵的大牛,但是還是感覺怪怪的。。。
Global Sensitivity Analysis 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載