On the night of the 2000 presidential election, Americans watched on television as polling results divided the nation's map into red and blue states. Since then the color divide has become symbolic of a culture war that thrives on stereotypes - pickup-driving red-state Republicans who vote based on God, guns, and gays; and, elitist blue-state Democrats woefully out of touch with heartland values. With wit and prodigious number crunching, Andrew Gelman debunks these and other political myths. This expanded edition includes new data and easy-to-read graphics explaining the 2008 election. "Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State" is a must-read for anyone seeking to make sense of today's fractured political landscape.
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why rich states are blue: culture, religion. why income highly correlated with voting behavoir in poor states: postmaterialism hypothesis.
评分why rich states are blue: culture, religion. why income highly correlated with voting behavoir in poor states: postmaterialism hypothesis.
评分Gelman这本书最大的优点和缺点都是通俗。主要观点并不“原创”：州层面的穷红富蓝与个人层面的穷蓝富红悖论可以追溯至Larry Bartels；“极化是政客而非选民现象”则来自Fiorina或者Hetherington。Gelman选了一批控制变量回归，确定“文化”、特别是宗教因素才会导致高收入人群极化，该结论则比较新，因为McCarthy, Poole & Rosenthal的经典论断是极化来自于收入不平等。但Gelman得出这些结论可是放了好多散点图、时间序列，而他本来只需几张回归分析表就可以说得更清楚
评分Gelman这本书最大的优点和缺点都是通俗。主要观点并不“原创”：州层面的穷红富蓝与个人层面的穷蓝富红悖论可以追溯至Larry Bartels；“极化是政客而非选民现象”则来自Fiorina或者Hetherington。Gelman选了一批控制变量回归，确定“文化”、特别是宗教因素才会导致高收入人群极化，该结论则比较新，因为McCarthy, Poole & Rosenthal的经典论断是极化来自于收入不平等。但Gelman得出这些结论可是放了好多散点图、时间序列，而他本来只需几张回归分析表就可以说得更清楚
评分why rich states are blue: culture, religion. why income highly correlated with voting behavoir in poor states: postmaterialism hypothesis.
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