Reckoning with Risk

Reckoning with Risk pdf epub mobi txt 电子书 下载 2025

出版者:Penguin
作者:Gerd Gigerenzer
出品人:
页数:320
译者:
出版时间:2003-4-24
价格:GBP 9.99
装帧:Paperback
isbn号码:9780140297867
丛书系列:
图书标签:
  • 科普 
  • 思维 
  • 心理学 
  • 人生必读 
  • tt 
  •  
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This is an important book, full of relevant examples and worrying case histories. By the end of it, the reader has been presented with a powerful set of tools for understanding statistics...anyone who wants to take responsibly for their own medical choices should read it' - "New Scientist". However much we crave certainty, we live in an uncertain world. But are we guilty of wildly exaggerating the chances of some unwanted event happening to us? Are ordinary people idiots when reasoning with risk? Far too many of us, argues Gerd Gigerenzer, are hampered by our own innumeracy. Here, he shows us that our difficulties in thinking about numbers can easily be overcome.

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整本书其实就一个主题“present risks in natural frequencies instead of probabilities”

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整本书其实就一个主题“present risks in natural frequencies instead of probabilities”

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