发表于2024-12-23
The Hockey Stick Illusion 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书
图书标签: 工业 Energy&Environment 能源 气候变化 全球变暖 History
For anybody who wants to understand the scientific and psychological background to Climategate, there is no better read than Andrew Montford's new book, The Hockey Stick Illusion: Climategate and the Corruption of Science.
The Hockey Stick Illusion leaves no doubt about Mr. Montford's reporting abilities. He tells a gripping detective story in which the star gumshoe is semi-retired Canadian mining consultant Steve McIntyre. Mr. McIntyre, unfortunately for his opponents, happens to combine mathematical genius with a Terminator-like relentlessness. He also found a brilliant partner in Ross McKitrick, an economics professor at the University of Guelph. Their story is one of intellectual determination in the face of Kafkaesque "peer review" and Orwellian "freedom of information."
The Hockey Stick reconstruction was led by an ambitious and aggressive young climatologist named Michael Mann of the University of Massachusetts. It was eagerly seized upon by the IPCC. Its prominence made Prof. Mann an academic star and the recipient of hefty research grants. In 2002, Scientific American named him one of "50 leading visionaries in science."
Mr. Montford concludes that the Hockey Stick affair suggests that "the case for global warming, far from being settled is actually weak and unconvincing. The implications for policymakers are stark. They have granted an effective monopoly on scientific advice to an organization that has proven itself to be corrupt, biased and beset by conflicts of interest. Their advisors on the global-warming issue are essentially a law unto themselves ...." "It is clear that it would be foolish in the extreme to give the IPCC the benefit of the doubt. Their record is too poor, the stakes too high."
Mr. Montford's book is required reading, but it only scratches the surface of the much bigger scandal. The Hockey Stick graph was used as a promotional tool for a political agenda. --Peter Foster, Financial Post, July 10 2010
“曲棍球杆曲线”丑闻、气候泡沫与气候政治的未来,书籍不算看过,看过深度点评文章,下一步何去何从,还不知道。。 作为统计学家,Wegman团队对古气候学这一高度依赖统计学方法的学术集团与主流统计学学术团体基本毫无学术联系表示震惊;而作为对比,同样是高度依赖与频繁运用统计学方法,医学和制药等学科领域与主流统计学学术团体体现出截然不同的、高度互动的格局。 “相关性并不意味着因果性”(correlation does not imply causation)是一个基本的科学原则,而气候变化学界在经常有意无意地挑战这一原则
评分“曲棍球杆曲线”丑闻、气候泡沫与气候政治的未来,书籍不算看过,看过深度点评文章,下一步何去何从,还不知道。。 作为统计学家,Wegman团队对古气候学这一高度依赖统计学方法的学术集团与主流统计学学术团体基本毫无学术联系表示震惊;而作为对比,同样是高度依赖与频繁运用统计学方法,医学和制药等学科领域与主流统计学学术团体体现出截然不同的、高度互动的格局。 “相关性并不意味着因果性”(correlation does not imply causation)是一个基本的科学原则,而气候变化学界在经常有意无意地挑战这一原则
评分“曲棍球杆曲线”丑闻、气候泡沫与气候政治的未来,书籍不算看过,看过深度点评文章,下一步何去何从,还不知道。。 作为统计学家,Wegman团队对古气候学这一高度依赖统计学方法的学术集团与主流统计学学术团体基本毫无学术联系表示震惊;而作为对比,同样是高度依赖与频繁运用统计学方法,医学和制药等学科领域与主流统计学学术团体体现出截然不同的、高度互动的格局。 “相关性并不意味着因果性”(correlation does not imply causation)是一个基本的科学原则,而气候变化学界在经常有意无意地挑战这一原则
评分“曲棍球杆曲线”丑闻、气候泡沫与气候政治的未来,书籍不算看过,看过深度点评文章,下一步何去何从,还不知道。。 作为统计学家,Wegman团队对古气候学这一高度依赖统计学方法的学术集团与主流统计学学术团体基本毫无学术联系表示震惊;而作为对比,同样是高度依赖与频繁运用统计学方法,医学和制药等学科领域与主流统计学学术团体体现出截然不同的、高度互动的格局。 “相关性并不意味着因果性”(correlation does not imply causation)是一个基本的科学原则,而气候变化学界在经常有意无意地挑战这一原则
评分“曲棍球杆曲线”丑闻、气候泡沫与气候政治的未来,书籍不算看过,看过深度点评文章,下一步何去何从,还不知道。。 作为统计学家,Wegman团队对古气候学这一高度依赖统计学方法的学术集团与主流统计学学术团体基本毫无学术联系表示震惊;而作为对比,同样是高度依赖与频繁运用统计学方法,医学和制药等学科领域与主流统计学学术团体体现出截然不同的、高度互动的格局。 “相关性并不意味着因果性”(correlation does not imply causation)是一个基本的科学原则,而气候变化学界在经常有意无意地挑战这一原则
The Hockey Stick Illusion 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书