Fortune's Formula

威廉·庞德斯通（William Poundstone）威廉·庞德斯通是畅销书作家，著有9部非小说类文学作品，其中《推理的迷宫》和《循环的宇宙》两部作品曾获普利策奖提名。

出版者:Hill and Wang

作者:William Poundstone

页数:386

出版时间:2005-09-14

价格:USD 27.00

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9780809046379

图书标签:投资金融管理经济数学技术成长思维

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In 1956 two Bell Labs scientists discovered the scientific formula for getting rich. One was mathematician Claude Shannon, neurotic father of our digital age, whose genius is ranked with Einstein's. The other was John L. Kelly, Jr., a Texas-born, gun-toting physicist. Together they applied the science of information theory--the basis of computers and the Internet--to the problem of making as much money as possible, as fast as possible.

Shannon and MIT mathematician Edward O. Thorp took the "Kelly formula" to the roulette and blackjack tables of Las Vegas. It worked. They realized that there was even more money to be made in the stock market, specifically in the risky trading known as arbitrage. Thorp used the Kelly system with his phenomenonally successful hedge fund Princeton-Newport Partners. Shannon became a successful investor, too, topping even Warren Buffett's rate of return and using his wealth to drop out of the scientific world. Fortune's Formula traces how the Kelly formula sparked controversy even as it made fortunes at racetracks, casinos, and trading desks. It reveals the dark side of this alluring scheme, which is founded on exploiting an insider's edge. The cast of character spans J. Edgar Hoover, Rudolph Giuliani, Michael Milken and Warren Buffett; Hollywood producers, Wall Street crooks, snarky Nobel Laureates, and the Jewish mob.

Fortune's Formula explores a new and surprising side to the Shannon legacy. Based in part on Shannon's previously unseen personal records as well as interviews with both of Shannon's wives, Thorp, and many others, it is the first full-length treatment of a subject that is changing ideas about finance. Claude Shannon believed it was possible for a smart investor to beat the market--and Fortune's Formula will convince you he was right.

读后感

沃伦·巴菲特惊讶于“10或者15个平均智商在170左右的家伙”是如何让自己陷入“输光所有钱的境地”的。这可以追溯到1738年，和丹尼尔·伯努利的观点差不多。当时他写道：“无论可能获得多高的收益，冒险赌上全部财产的人都像是个傻瓜。” 天才败于过度贪婪。 约翰·凯利的风险哲...  

我读这本书是有收获的，虽然它叙述内容庞杂而又有些罗嗦，也没有人物对照表，容易看晕了。下面这篇文章就当作我的读书笔记了。 ------------------------- 《从信息论到证券投资》 这个话题要从信息论之父克劳德•香农(Claude Shannon) 说起。 香农是一位极为神奇的人物。...  

我能说这是一本很好的书吗？ 很早就知道kelly公式了，而且自己也找过thorp的文章来钻研过。市面上能买到的关于kelly公式的书籍屈指可数，此书便是其一。 买来后，发现其实是传记故事类的。 然而很多地方都给了我巨大的启发有木有！ 确实如书中所说，kelly派一直受到学院派的...  

内容：★★★☆☆ 翻译：★★☆☆☆ 排印：★★★☆☆ 装帧：★★★☆☆ 这本书的叙事性大于学术性，读者会了解到和凯利公式相关的一些人和事，但不会对凯利公式本身有深入的了解。如果这是一本以凯利公式本身为主题的学术性图书，对读者来说，可能会更有价值；对出版商来说，...  

用户评价

居然是通过黑手党，香农，索普，赌博等几条主线平行推进，八卦，精彩，如果能用英剧的手法拍出来多好

居然是通过黑手党，香农，索普，赌博等几条主线平行推进，八卦，精彩，如果能用英剧的手法拍出来多好

Recommended by Charlie Munger - 2006 WESCO Annual Meeting

Recommended by Charlie Munger - 2006 WESCO Annual Meeting

居然是通过黑手党，香农，索普，赌博等几条主线平行推进，八卦，精彩，如果能用英剧的手法拍出来多好