Ahead of the Curve 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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Ahead of the Curve 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书著者简介

"约瑟夫·埃利斯

Joseph H. Ellis

高盛集团合伙人。1970～1994年，埃利斯专职从事零售业的分析，关注整个行业的发展趋势及一些公司的业绩表现，工作的最终目标是向高盛集团的客户提供整个零售业以及零售企业股票，如沃尔玛、联邦百货、Gap等的投资前景等相关建议。

埃利斯的从业经验已达35年，并连续18年被《机构投资者》（Institutional Investor）杂志评为华尔街第一零售业分析师。"

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发表于2025-03-30

Ahead of the Curve 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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论图表读经济的可行性评《我在高盛的经济预测法》我一直坚持这种观点：经济学更重要的作用是用来解释经济运行的本质，而不是用来预测未来。当然，为将来做打算的规划、计划，不仅仅是公司需要，更是市场和国家（经济运行的两个主体）需要，这使得预测这门“不科学的学科”...

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利用增长率序列比较得出美国等发达国家的股市领先指标是实际消费支出，而实际资本支出及就业是滞后指标。在萨缪尔森（1939）的经典模型中也是这样思路： 1）y(t)=c(t)+i(t) 2) c(t)=Ay(t-1)+E(ct) 0<A<1 3) i(t)=B(c(t)-c(t-1))+E(it) B>0 差分方程中y(t)代表实际GDP，c(t...

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出版者:Harvard Business Press

作者:Joseph H. Ellis

出品人:

页数:276

译者:

出版时间:2005-10-11

价格:USD 29.95

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9781591396918

丛书系列:

图书标签: 金融商业 finance 经济学证券美国经济 economics

Ahead of the Curve 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书图书描述

How to Read the Signs of Economic Change-Before They Impact Your Business and Investments Economic and stock-market cycles affect companies in every industry. Unfortunately, a confusing array of anecdotal and conflicting indicators often renders it impossible for managers and investors to see where the economy is heading in time to take corrective action. Now, a thirty-five-year Wall Street veteran unveils a new forecasting method that will help managers and investors understand and predict the economic cycles that control their businesses and financial fates. In Ahead of the Curve , Joseph H. Ellis argues that the problem with current forecasting models lies not in the data, but rather in the lack of a clear framework for putting the data in context and reading it correctly. The book explains critical economic indicators in nontechnical language, identifies and documents the recurring cause-and-effect relationships that consistently predict turning points in the economy, and provides the tools managers and investors need to position themselves ahead of cyclical upturns and downturns. Economic events are not as random and unpredictable as they seem. This book will help readers recognize and react to signs of change that their rivals don't see-and win a sizeable competitive advantage.

Ahead of the Curve 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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