Plight of the Fortune Tellers pdf epub mobi txt 電子書下載2025

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出版者:Princeton University Press

作者:Riccardo Rebonato

出品人:

頁數:304

译者:

出版時間:2007-9-17

價格:USD 35.00

裝幀:Hardcover

isbn號碼:9780691133614

叢書系列:

圖書標籤:

finance
risk
management
Finance
金融
數學和計算機
business
Wall-Street

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Today's top financial-risk professionals have come to rely on ever-more sophisticated mathematics in their attempts to come to grips with financial risk. But this excessive reliance on quantitative precision is misleading - and it puts us all at risk. This is the case that Riccardo Rebonato makes in "Plight of the Fortune Tellers" - and coming from someone who is both an experienced market professional and an academic, this heresy is worth listening to. Rebonato forcefully argues that we must restore genuine decision making to our financial planning, and he shows us how to do it using probability, experimental psychology, and decision theory. This is the only way to effectively manage financial risk in a manner congruent with how human beings actually react to chance.Rebonato challenges us to rethink the standard wisdom about probability in financial-risk management. Risk managers have become obsessed with measuring risk and believe that these quantitative results by themselves can guide sound financial choices - but they can't. In this book, Rebonato offers a radical yet surprisingly commonsense solution, one that seeks to remind us that managing risk comes down to real people making decisions under uncertainty. "Plight of the Fortune Tellers" is not only a book for the decision makers of Wall Street, it's a must-read for anyone concerned about how today's financial markets are run. The stakes have never been higher - can you risk it?