The Map and the Territory 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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The Map and the Territory 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书著者简介

Alan Greenspan was born in 1926 and reared in the Washington Heights neighborhood of New York City. After studying the clarinet at Juilliard and working as a professional musician, he earned his B.A., M.A. and Ph.D. in economics from New York University. In 1954, he cofounded the economic consulting firm Townsend-Greenspan & Co. From 1974 to 1977, he served as chair of the Council of Economic Advisors under President Gerald Ford. In 1987, President Ronald Reagan appointed him chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, a position he held until his retirement in 2006.

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发表于2024-06-29

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经历过无数次大灾大难，凭着对经济学的执著热爱和敬业精神，本着深刻反思、从错误中学习的态度，以自己丰富的经济理论和社会实践为基础，拿出了面对曾经预测错误的勇气，87岁的经济学家，预言家艾伦﹒格林斯潘写了这本书。他在书的前言中说：“我希望弄清楚我们为何错得那么离...

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出版者:Penguin Press HC, The

作者:Alan Greenspan

出品人:

页数:400

译者:

出版时间:2013-10-22

价格:USD 36.00

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9781594204814

丛书系列:

图书标签: 金融 Alan_Greenspan 经济传记经济史 economics Greenspan Finance&Economics

The Map and the Territory 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书图书描述

Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role in economic decision making in the world saw beforehand the storm for what it was. How had our models so utterly failed us?

To answer this question, Alan Greenspan embarked on a rigorous and far-reaching multiyear examination of how Homo economicus predicts the economic future, and how it can predict it better. Economic risk is a fact of life in every realm, from home to business to government at all levels. Whether we're conscious of it or not, we make wagers on the future virtually every day, one way or another. Very often, however, we're steering by out-of-date maps, when we're not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control.

The Map and the Territory is nothing less than an effort to update our forecasting conceptual grid using twenty-first-century technologies. It integrates the history of economic prediction, the new work of behavioral economists, and the fruits of the author's own remarkable career to offer a thrillingly lucid and empirically based grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can't. The book explores how culture is and isn't destiny and probes what we can predict about the world's biggest looming challenges, from debt and the reform of the welfare state to our competition with China to natural disasters in an age of global warming.

No map is the territory, but Greenspan's approach, grounded in his trademark rigor, wisdom, and unprecedented context, ensures that this particular map will assist in safe journeys down many different roads, traveled by individuals, businesses, and the state.

The Map and the Territory 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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The Map and the Territory 2024 pdf epub mobi 用户评价

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对于我这样的经济学layman来说这本书的各章节讲的主题都很大，很科普。当然还是很多人由于不喜欢Greenspan本人而不喜欢本书。

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不论学了多少经济理论，也不论格老是否有推卸责任的嫌疑（比如把次贷危机的起源部分归咎于发展中国家信贷不足储蓄率上升从而驱使利率下降），如本回忆录类似的书都是一定要读的。这些执牛耳者所观察的事，对理论高屋建瓴得分析，制定政策的过程，到危机过后的反省，是宏观经济最好的应用和思考。正如关于屋大维的奥古斯都的精准评论，“站在权利巅峰的人更能看到文明的力量”。

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kinda dry, nothing innovative yet

评分☆☆☆☆☆

对于我这样的经济学layman来说这本书的各章节讲的主题都很大，很科普。当然还是很多人由于不喜欢Greenspan本人而不喜欢本书。

评分☆☆☆☆☆

kinda dry, nothing innovative yet

The Map and the Territory 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书