发表于2024-12-28
Authoritarianism in an Age of Democratization 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书
Brownlee, Jason, Authoritarianism in an Age of Democratization (New York, NY: Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp.1-43, pp.201-222. 该书所要解释的主要问题是,在20世纪末民主化第三波浪潮的冲击下,为什么威权政体的转型会出现不同的发展路径?有的国家出现了...
评分(君不见诸位政治学者最近赶时髦,大谈祖国明天之民煮与革命前途。他们不谈理念,却竞相预言革命不会发生——权力博弈文化传统路径依赖国民素质利益斗争——预言中国政治的未来会走出自己的路!) 评论政治学著作,我也许不是最适合的人——因为我不常阅读这个学科的著作,因...
评分(君不见诸位政治学者最近赶时髦,大谈祖国明天之民煮与革命前途。他们不谈理念,却竞相预言革命不会发生——权力博弈文化传统路径依赖国民素质利益斗争——预言中国政治的未来会走出自己的路!) 评论政治学著作,我也许不是最适合的人——因为我不常阅读这个学科的著作,因...
评分(君不见诸位政治学者最近赶时髦,大谈祖国明天之民煮与革命前途。他们不谈理念,却竞相预言革命不会发生——权力博弈文化传统路径依赖国民素质利益斗争——预言中国政治的未来会走出自己的路!) 评论政治学著作,我也许不是最适合的人——因为我不常阅读这个学科的著作,因...
评分Brownlee, Jason, Authoritarianism in an Age of Democratization (New York, NY: Cambridge University Press, 2007), pp.1-43, pp.201-222. 该书所要解释的主要问题是,在20世纪末民主化第三波浪潮的冲击下,为什么威权政体的转型会出现不同的发展路径?有的国家出现了...
图书标签: 威权主义 民主化 比较威权研究 政治学 politics 民主转型 中东政治 Responsiveness
"Why does conducting elections sometimes undermine authoritarian regimes and sometimes seem to fortify them? Jason Brownlee answers this timely and provocative question in his study of four countries where elections produced unexpected outcomes: Egypt, Iran, Malaysia and the Philippines. From his close and careful reading of these electoral experiments, Brownlee concludes that their outcomes were shaped by the strength and solidity of the ruling parties. For scholars, students and policymakers alike, this salutary emphasis on the institutions that sustain and betray political regimes in transition is a valuable contribution, not only to the political science of democratization, but also to the policy debates about democracy promotion." -Lisa Anderson, Columbia University "Do elections in authoritarian states inevitably lead towards democracy, or do they serve as a safety valve allowing dictators to tighten their holds? Do even rigged elections indicate that some political competition is occurring, despite the regime's tight grip? These are the questions that Jason Brownlee tackles in his fascinating four-country study. Looking carefully at different historical trajectories of political parties, he unravels a central dilemma: why some authoritarian regimes have survived in an age of democratization, while others have given way to true democratic practices." -Joel Migdal, University of Washington "Brownlee's work serves as an autopsy of departed dictatorships and a diagnosis of the past and future health of persistent autocracies. He skillfully deploys an ingenious research design and abundant evidence from four countries to identify ruling parties that contain elite conflict as the main source of authoritarian stability. Yet the maintenance of ruling parties is medicine that some autocrats refuse to take. Fearing that they will become institutional bases of opposition, some ruling groups dismantle their own parties. In these cases, Brownlee demonstrates, uncontained elite conflict motivates the emergence of soft liners who may become leaders of democratic transitions. This ambitious and well-written book provides many important lessons about the origins and effects of political institutions. It is a 'must read' for scholars of regime dynamics." -David Waldner, University of Virginia "This is a welcome addition to recent work emphasizing the importance of institutions in nondemocratic regimes. [...]The care with which the author traces the theoretical claims through the empirical narratives is the book's greatest strength. What he finds within the cases themselves opens up potentially interesting new puzzles for future research." -Jennifer Gandhi, Emory University, Perspectives on Politics
政体塑造初期的精英矛盾是否能够合理解决,决定了是否能有一个主导的政党存在,而和对于威权韧性很重要。然而作者并没有分清作为政党的制度是否是真正的决定变量,还是仅仅是精英斗争的副产品,很可能威权韧性在很大程度可以被精英的妥协机制解释掉,而政党所起的作用并不是核心。
评分党派是否能够稳固精英联合成为解释民主化浪潮中是否走向真民主的变量,用了四个案例做了定性分析。
评分埃及这个case算是对作者的一次打脸,菲律宾有为效率走向totalitarianism的倾向
评分以精英整合能力的作为核心变量的二分法,因果链条也过于简单
评分党派是否能够稳固精英联合成为解释民主化浪潮中是否走向真民主的变量,用了四个案例做了定性分析。
Authoritarianism in an Age of Democratization 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书