What drives politics in dictatorships? Milan W. Svolik argues authoritarian regimes must resolve two fundamental conflicts. Dictators face threats from the masses over which they rule – the problem of authoritarian control. Secondly from the elites with whom dictators rule – the problem of authoritarian power-sharing. Using the tools of game theory, Svolik explains why some dictators establish personal autocracy and stay in power for decades; why elsewhere leadership changes are regular and institutionalized, as in contemporary China; why some dictatorships are ruled by soldiers, as Uganda was under Idi Amin; why many authoritarian regimes, such as PRI-era Mexico, maintain regime-sanctioned political parties; and why a country's authoritarian past casts a long shadow over its prospects for democracy, as the unfolding events of the Arab Spring reveal. Svolik complements these and other historical case studies with the statistical analysis on institutions, leaders and ruling coalitions across dictatorships from 1946 to 2008.
發表於2024-05-14
The Politics of Authoritarian Rule 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
圖書標籤: 政治學 威權主義 比較政治 政治 獨裁政治 民主轉型 英文原版 比較政治學
Svolik值得期待必成大器
評分Insightful and interesting, with thorough quantitative models.
評分當領導人和盟友的權力分布相對平衡時,盟友可以做齣有效懲罰(替換)領導人的可信威脅,從而阻止個人專權,維持權力分享。一旦領導人實力明顯強於盟友(依靠革命鬥爭時的聲望和功績,或憑藉信息優勢逐步竊取個人權力),盟友將無力阻止個人專權的齣現,權力分享走嚮破裂。 由於強大到足以消滅任何盟友,個人專權局麵幾乎不可能由內部打破,而隻能是外部入侵、民眾起義或領導人的自然死亡。
評分威權主義的討論既繁,對知識的再結構化也就呼之欲齣,Svolik這本書正好起到這樣的作用,故而占據節點,廣受徵引。雖組織完備,但邏輯似嫌簡單,未得深透。倒是更欣賞他劃分民主/威權毫不妥協的二分法,有一點春鞦筆意方能不落庸俗,顯露精神。
評分教授大人實際上有要求我這個勉強過瞭綜閤考的人,暑假還要加強修煉,每個星期都從她那邊弄本書迴去精讀...
The Politics of Authoritarian Rule 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載