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THOMAS C. SCHELLING is Distinguished University Professor, Department of Economics and School of Public Affairs, University of Maryland and Lucius N. Littauer Professor of Political Economy, Emeritus, Harvard University. He is co-recipient of the 2005 Nobel Prize in Economics.

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发表于2024-11-06

Arms and Influence 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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谢林是西方非主流经济学家的代表人物之一，2005年他和罗伯特.奥曼获得了当年的诺贝尔经济学奖，以表彰他们“通过博弈论分析，促进了人们对冲突和合作的理解。” 谢林的思想主张突破了经济学理论数学表示的传统方法，开创并发展了“非数理博弈理论”。该理论框架...

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出版者:Yale University Press

作者:Thomas C. Schelling

出品人:

页数:291

译者:

出版时间:1967-09-10

价格:USD 22.00

装帧:Paperback

isbn号码:9780300002218

丛书系列:

图书标签: 博弈论经济学 GameTheory Thomas_Schelling Thomas Evolution Behavior 唐世平

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Traditionally, Americans have viewed war as an alternative to diplomacy, and military strategy as the science of victory. Today, however, in our world of nuclear weapons, military power is not so much exercised as threatened. It is, Mr. Schelling says, bargaining power, and the exploitation of this power, for good or evil, to preserve peace or to threaten war, is diplomacy—the diplomacy of violence. The author concentrates in this book on the way in which military capabilities—real or imagined—are used, skillfully or clumsily, as bargaining power. He sees the steps taken by the U.S. during the Berlin and Cuban crises as not merely preparations for engagement, but as signals to an enemy, with reports from the adversary's own military intelligence as our most important diplomatic communications. Even the bombing of North Vietnam, Mr. Schelling points out, is as much coercive as tactical, aimed at decisions as much as bridges. He carries forward the analysis so brilliantly begun in his earlier The Strategy of Conflict (1960) and Strategy and Arms Control (with Morton Halperin, 1961), and makes a significant contribution to the growing literature on modern war and diplomacy. Stimson Lectures.Mr. Schelling is professor of economics at Harvard and acting director of Harvard's Center for International Affairs. "An exemplary text on the interplay of national purpose and military force."—Book Week. "A grim but carefully reasoned and coldly analytical book. . . . One of the most frightening previews which this reviewer has ever seen of the roads that lie just ahead in warfare."—Los Angeles Times. "A brilliant and hardheaded book. It will frighten those who prefer not to dwell on the unthinkable and infuriate those who have taken refuge in the stereotypes and moral attitudinizing."—New York Times Book Review.

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最初就是一堆关于武备、遏制和博弈的讲座稿，整理后成为国际战略/策略研究的开山之作，开创了目前strategic studies流行的所有词汇和术语和思路。对比之下国内某些学者写的“国际战略”类型书籍真是山寨版，所谓国际战略学起源于中国学者简直是一派胡言。在于1960年代的大背景下这本书仅注重军事和战争策略（所谓“战略”），后来才被一堆新自由制度主义者套用到其他议题上。非常”硬“的书，不仅是文笔硬，所述议题也非常”硬“，在核武兴起的大背景下主要论述了常规武器和核武在遏制作用上的不同，所谓”确保相互毁灭“的策略虽未明确提出，但由于谢林对核武的遏制作用的重视，其实是呼之欲出的。常规武器的遏制作用则需要在高机动性（如轰炸机、装甲集群等）技术中才发挥得最全面。

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的确是博弈论学者视角的书籍偏战略年代所限有趣的实例不够多

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博弈论真的很有意思，所谓的反常识智慧，也值得深思

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的确是博弈论学者视角的书籍偏战略年代所限有趣的实例不够多

Arms and Influence 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书