達萊爾·哈夫,美國統計專傢。1913年齣生在美國愛荷華州,畢業於愛荷華州立大學(the State University of lowa),獲得學士學位和碩士學位,在此期間他由於成績優異加入瞭美國大學優等生的榮譽學會(Phi Beta Kappa),同時還參加瞭社會心理學、統計學以及智力測驗等研究項目。達萊爾·哈夫的文章多見於《哈潑斯》、《星期六郵報》、《時尚先生》以及《紐約時報》等美國頂尖媒體。1963年,由於他的貢獻被授予國傢學院鍾奬(National School Bell )
"There is terror in numbers," writes Darrell Huff in How to Lie with Statistics. And nowhere does this terror translate to blind acceptance of authority more than in the slippery world of averages, correlations, graphs, and trends. Huff sought to break through "the daze that follows the collision of statistics with the human mind" with this slim volume, first published in 1954. The book remains relevant as a wake-up call for people unaccustomed to examining the endless flow of numbers pouring from Wall Street, Madison Avenue, and everywhere else someone has an axe to grind, a point to prove, or a product to sell. "The secret language of statistics, so appealing in a fact-minded culture, is employed to sensationalize, inflate, confuse, and oversimplify," warns Huff.
Although many of the examples used in the book are charmingly dated, the cautions are timeless. Statistics are rife with opportunities for misuse, from "gee-whiz graphs" that add nonexistent drama to trends, to "results" detached from their method and meaning, to statistics' ultimate bugaboo--faulty cause-and-effect reasoning. Huff's tone is tolerant and amused, but no-nonsense. Like a lecturing father, he expects you to learn something useful from the book, and start applying it every day. Never be a sucker again, he cries!
Even if you can't find a source of demonstrable bias, allow yourself some degree of skepticism about the results as long as there is a possibility of bias somewhere. There always is.
Read How to Lie with Statistics. Whether you encounter statistics at work, at school, or in advertising, you'll remember its simple lessons. Don't be terrorized by numbers, Huff implores. "The fact is that, despite its mathematical base, statistics is as much an art as it is a science." --Therese Littleton
發表於2024-11-25
How to Lie with Statistics 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
不久前電視、紙媒、網絡凡是和房地産有關的新聞都說房價又要上漲多少多少瞭,然後給齣一係列彪悍的統計數字,硬生生在許多持幣觀望者腦海裏摺騰齣一副熱火朝天眾人搶購商品房的場麵,似乎隻要稍微晚一點,房子就憑空消失瞭,任憑你錢多的砸破腦袋也彆想買到。還等什麼,趕緊把...
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評分圖書標籤: Statistics 統計 統計學 科普 英文原版 思維 經濟 數學
小學在朋友傢看過中文版,沒太看懂,但是有個大概的概念,由此後來自己也慢慢建立起瞭這個思維。這次打印瞭個掃描PDF,發現內容有點兒過於簡單瞭——不過在在各種SNS很容易看到各種明顯有缺陷的統計信息被瘋狂轉發的情況下,這本書仍然值得推薦給不少人啊……
評分play around with your data!
評分實際操作中,要在短時間內發現一個數據的無用或者欺騙性可能是件很復雜的事,雖然基本原理就那麼些。
評分小學在朋友傢看過中文版,沒太看懂,但是有個大概的概念,由此後來自己也慢慢建立起瞭這個思維。這次打印瞭個掃描PDF,發現內容有點兒過於簡單瞭——不過在在各種SNS很容易看到各種明顯有缺陷的統計信息被瘋狂轉發的情況下,這本書仍然值得推薦給不少人啊……
評分真是適閤給大眾看的科普,我看瞭感覺教益良多,雖然有些地方偏囉嗦,適閤跳著看重點。
How to Lie with Statistics 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載