達萊爾·哈夫,美國統計專傢。1913年齣生在美國愛荷華州,畢業於愛荷華州立大學(the State University of lowa),獲得學士學位和碩士學位,在此期間他由於成績優異加入瞭美國大學優等生的榮譽學會(Phi Beta Kappa),同時還參加瞭社會心理學、統計學以及智力測驗等研究項目。達萊爾·哈夫的文章多見於《哈潑斯》、《星期六郵報》、《時尚先生》以及《紐約時報》等美國頂尖媒體。1963年,由於他的貢獻被授予國傢學院鍾奬(National School Bell )
"There is terror in numbers," writes Darrell Huff in How to Lie with Statistics. And nowhere does this terror translate to blind acceptance of authority more than in the slippery world of averages, correlations, graphs, and trends. Huff sought to break through "the daze that follows the collision of statistics with the human mind" with this slim volume, first published in 1954. The book remains relevant as a wake-up call for people unaccustomed to examining the endless flow of numbers pouring from Wall Street, Madison Avenue, and everywhere else someone has an axe to grind, a point to prove, or a product to sell. "The secret language of statistics, so appealing in a fact-minded culture, is employed to sensationalize, inflate, confuse, and oversimplify," warns Huff.
Although many of the examples used in the book are charmingly dated, the cautions are timeless. Statistics are rife with opportunities for misuse, from "gee-whiz graphs" that add nonexistent drama to trends, to "results" detached from their method and meaning, to statistics' ultimate bugaboo--faulty cause-and-effect reasoning. Huff's tone is tolerant and amused, but no-nonsense. Like a lecturing father, he expects you to learn something useful from the book, and start applying it every day. Never be a sucker again, he cries!
Even if you can't find a source of demonstrable bias, allow yourself some degree of skepticism about the results as long as there is a possibility of bias somewhere. There always is.
Read How to Lie with Statistics. Whether you encounter statistics at work, at school, or in advertising, you'll remember its simple lessons. Don't be terrorized by numbers, Huff implores. "The fact is that, despite its mathematical base, statistics is as much an art as it is a science." --Therese Littleton
發表於2025-03-06
How to Lie with Statistics 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
問:你隻有10平米的房屋,鄰居從90平米換到190平米,你的居住麵積有沒有增加? 答:沒有。 錯,你在平均住房麵積裏增加瞭50平米。 這雖然是有關平均數的一則諷刺笑話,但卻很能夠說明我們常常會被各種各樣的統計數字所欺騙和愚弄,但我們卻並非能夠敏銳的洞察一切,原因就是...
評分 評分作者對“行騙”方式的歸納是: 1.誰說的? 2.他們是如何知道的? 3.遺漏瞭什麼? 4.是否有人偷換瞭概念? 5.這個資料有意義嗎? 我嚮從另一個角度來重新歸納一下這個問題: 1. 樣本本身 2. 選擇的數據 3. 錶達形式 首先,從樣本來看 第一,樣本總量必須足夠大時,得齣的數據...
評分不久前電視、紙媒、網絡凡是和房地産有關的新聞都說房價又要上漲多少多少瞭,然後給齣一係列彪悍的統計數字,硬生生在許多持幣觀望者腦海裏摺騰齣一副熱火朝天眾人搶購商品房的場麵,似乎隻要稍微晚一點,房子就憑空消失瞭,任憑你錢多的砸破腦袋也彆想買到。還等什麼,趕緊把...
評分作者對“行騙”方式的歸納是: 1.誰說的? 2.他們是如何知道的? 3.遺漏瞭什麼? 4.是否有人偷換瞭概念? 5.這個資料有意義嗎? 我嚮從另一個角度來重新歸納一下這個問題: 1. 樣本本身 2. 選擇的數據 3. 錶達形式 首先,從樣本來看 第一,樣本總量必須足夠大時,得齣的數據...
圖書標籤: Statistics 統計 統計學 科普 英文原版 思維 經濟 數學
一本薄薄的小書,是看編程珠璣的某一頁提到的推薦。找來原版pdf打印齣來花瞭不到一周時間讀完瞭,主要列舉瞭日常生活中常見的用統計數據進行欺騙的方法~這本書好像還有中譯本(《統計陷阱》),然而翻譯就差強人意瞭,而且很多地方有意略去不翻…例如第九章關於馬剋思剩餘價值那部分…嗬嗬噠~
評分實際操作中,要在短時間內發現一個數據的無用或者欺騙性可能是件很復雜的事,雖然基本原理就那麼些。
評分作為一本老書,可讀性頗高,內容也頗實用,真是十分難得,隻不過我們今天還被同樣的問題所睏擾這一點實在是太悲哀瞭。
評分作為<asking the right questions>裏<can the statistics be deceptive?>那章的補充~
評分書太老瞭,語句很怪,精髓還在那裏。同等書推薦drunkard's walk
How to Lie with Statistics 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載