Leonard Mlodinow was born in Chicago, Illinois, received his PhD in theoretical physics from the University of California at Berkeley, and is the author of five best-sellers. His book The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules our Lives was a New York Times Bestseller, Editor's Choice, and Notable Book of the Year, and was short-listed for the Royal Society book award. His book Subliminal won the PEN/Wilson award for literary science writing. His other books include two co-authored with physicist Stephen Hawking -- A Briefer History of Time, and The Grand Design. In addition to his books and research articles, he has taught at Caltech, written for the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and Forbes magazine, among other publications, and for television series such as McGyver and Star Trek: the Next Generation. www.leonardmlodinow.com
In this irreverent and illuminating book, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, change, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious cases, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.
The rise and fall of your favorite movie star of the most reviled CEO--in fact, of all our destinies--reflects as much as planning and innate abilities. Even the legendary Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth's single-season home run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky. And it might be shocking to realize that you are twice as likely to be killed in a car accident on your way to buying a lottery ticket than you are to win the lottery.
How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars, the highest rating, in one journal and in another it was called the worst wine of the decade? Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of change and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor's office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow's insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.
Offering readers not only a tour of randomness, chance, and probability but also a new way of looking at the world, this original, unexpected journey reminds us that much in our lives is about as predictable as the steps of a stumbling man fresh from a night at the bar.
正如這本書的副標題所說的,How Randomness Rules Our Lives,書裏主要闡述的是如何認識隨機性對我們生活的影響。 各章節的筆記見:http://book.douban.com/annotation/19391977/ 作者從曆史發展的角度講述瞭人們一步步認識隨機性,並由此建立瞭概率論和統計方法的過程。書中...
評分讀書筆記 - 文字摘錄地址:http://book.douban.com/annotation/19550698/ 芝諾悖論 古希臘數學傢芝諾(Zeno of Elea)提齣的一係列關於運動的不可分性的哲學悖論。這些悖論由於被記錄在亞裏士多德的《物理學》一書中而為後人所知。芝諾提齣這些悖論是為瞭支持他老師巴門尼德...
評分除瞭介紹基本統計和概率的概念,還有關於專傢的人物介紹,滿有趣的。 人物描述都非常的生動,比如,從前的學習,隻知道Fisher創立瞭好多tests, 現在,這些專傢不再僅僅是一些枯燥的名字,更是有血肉的人瞭。 統計基本概念方麵,我想這本書是除瞭課本以外,講的最好的瞭。而且...
評分正如這本書的副標題所說的,How Randomness Rules Our Lives,書裏主要闡述的是如何認識隨機性對我們生活的影響。 各章節的筆記見:http://book.douban.com/annotation/19391977/ 作者從曆史發展的角度講述瞭人們一步步認識隨機性,並由此建立瞭概率論和統計方法的過程。書中...
關於概率統計的科普讀物。文字流暢,故事精彩。
评分A great book that ends on a sober note.
评分神書
评分history of randomness... it's not bad. but not my area of interest. read about half of it
评分從前沒好好學過概率統計的人讀後錶示受益非淺
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