Jack S. Levy is Board of Governors' Professor of Political Science at Rutgers University, President of the International Studies Association (2007-2008), and author of War in the Modern Great Power System 1495-1975. He has also written numerous articles on the causes of war and on decision-making.
Gary Goertz is Professor of Political Science at the University of Arizona. He is the author or co-author of five books and over 25 articles on issues of methodology, international institutions, and conflict studies, including "Necessary Conditions: Theory, Methodology, and Applications," (2003 Rowman & Littlefield) and "Social Science Concepts: A User's Guide" (2006 Princeton University Press).
This edited volume focuses on the use of 'necessary condition counterfactuals' in explaining two key events in twentieth century history, the start of the First World War and the end of the Cold War. Containing essays by leading figures in the field, this book analyzes the causal logics of necessary and sufficient conditions, demonstrates the variety of different ways in which necessary condition counterfactuals are used to explain the causes of individual events, and identifies errors commonly made in applying this form of causal logic to individual events. It includes discussions of causal chains, contingency, critical junctures, and 'powder keg' explanations, and the role of necessary conditions in each. "Explaining War and Peace" will be of great interest to students of qualitative analysis, the First World War, the Cold War, international history and international relations theory in general.
發表於2024-12-22
Explaining War and Peace 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
圖書標籤: 比較政治 國際政治 一戰 自我啓發 社會科學 案例研究 方法論 政治分析
在Smelser早期的那部Comparative Methods in the Social Sciences的古典著作中,他曾經整理過托剋維爾關於法國大革命的曆史解釋方法:通過追溯因果鏈條,從而指齣不同變量之間的關係脈絡和因果構造的層次。這種古典的方法具有啓發性,但是的確相當粗糙。雖然這部文集大概也可以在不少學生眼裏看來,不過是更換瞭標簽和詞藻的新瓶裝舊酒,不過,的確可以認為,相較於最初曆史學者通過直覺所推論的社會要因和行為者動機之間的因果鏈條,在這裏,多少人們可以進一步地通過反事實推論,增進我們對於某些解釋的信心。兩者事實上都是Weber流的解釋法,在現在案例研究多少在國際政治還頗有一席之地的時代,這種文集大概對於國際政治專攻的學生還是有一定幫助的吧。也是很早之前閱讀過的一冊書瞭
評分部分。施羅德的一篇太長,好難啃
評分在Smelser早期的那部Comparative Methods in the Social Sciences的古典著作中,他曾經整理過托剋維爾關於法國大革命的曆史解釋方法:通過追溯因果鏈條,從而指齣不同變量之間的關係脈絡和因果構造的層次。這種古典的方法具有啓發性,但是的確相當粗糙。雖然這部文集大概也可以在不少學生眼裏看來,不過是更換瞭標簽和詞藻的新瓶裝舊酒,不過,的確可以認為,相較於最初曆史學者通過直覺所推論的社會要因和行為者動機之間的因果鏈條,在這裏,多少人們可以進一步地通過反事實推論,增進我們對於某些解釋的信心。兩者事實上都是Weber流的解釋法,在現在案例研究多少在國際政治還頗有一席之地的時代,這種文集大概對於國際政治專攻的學生還是有一定幫助的吧。也是很早之前閱讀過的一冊書瞭
評分部分。施羅德的一篇太長,好難啃
評分部分。施羅德的一篇太長,好難啃
Explaining War and Peace 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載