Farsighted 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載

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Farsighted pdf epub mobi 著者簡介

Steven Johnson is the bestselling author of ten books, including Wonderland, How We Got to Now, Where Good Ideas Come From, The Invention of Air, The Ghost Map, and Everything Bad Is Good for You.

The founder of a variety of influential websites, he is the host and co-creator of the PBS and BBC series How We Got to Now. Johnson lives in Marin County, California, and Brooklyn, New York, with his wife and three sons.

Farsighted pdf epub mobi 圖書描述

A groundbreaking book about making once-in-a-lifetime decisions, from the bestselling author of How We Got to Now and Where Good Ideas Come From.

Plenty of books offer useful advice on how to get better at making quick-thinking, intuitive choices. But what about more consequential decisions, the ones that affect our lives for years, or centuries, to come? Our most powerful stories revolve around these kinds of decisions: where to live, whom to marry, what to believe, whether to start a company, how to end a war.

Full of the beautifully crafted storytelling and novel insights that Steven Johnson's fans know to expect, Farsighted draws lessons from cognitive science, social psychology, military strategy, environmental planning, and great works of literature. Everyone thinks we are living in an age of short attention spans, but we've actually learned a lot about making long-term decisions over the past few decades. Johnson makes a compelling case for a smarter and more deliberative decision-making approach. He argues that we choose better when we break out of the myopia of single-scale thinking and develop methods for considering all the factors involved.

There's no one-size-fits-all model for the important decisions that can alter the course of a life, an organization, or a civilization. But Farsighted explains how we can approach these choices more effectively, and how we can appreciate the subtle intelligence of choices that shaped our broader social history.

Farsighted 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載

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發表於2024-11-07

Farsighted 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載

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Farsighted pdf epub mobi 讀後感

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“大多數組織所采用的決策流程，與一名激素分泌過剩的青少年所采用的流程似乎是一樣的” 01 — 主題是麵臨復雜情況如何決策，給齣的方法是三步決策法：繪圖—預測—選擇。先整理清楚所有的可能選擇，預測各種選擇的後果，然後做決策。期間最重要的是保持頭腦開放，盡量保持決策...

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遠見 : 一本教你如何做好決策的書重點整理 : 1. 決策能力就是你在關鍵當口能不能做齣明智的選擇的能力 2. 一般人之所以不善於決策，根本原因在於缺少做決策的機會。我們生活中的絕大多數事情都是走流程 3. 科學決策的規律都是相同的，它可以分為三步 : *看看你手上有哪些選項 ...

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核心：全譜>窄帶，切忌單一思維 1.鄧寜-剋魯格效應: 能力越低的人，往往越會高估自己的能力。有時候，最容易犯錯的方式就是堅定地認為自己是對的。 2.經驗偏見：在一個既定體係內，無論齣於何種原因，我們通常都傾嚮於高估我們所瞭解的變量的重要性，而低估那些對我們來說模...

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出版者:Riverhead Books

作者:Steven Johnson

出品人:

頁數:256

譯者:

出版時間:2018-9-4

價格:USD 18.00

裝幀:Hardcover

isbn號碼:9781594488214

叢書系列:

圖書標籤: 決策

Farsighted 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載

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Farsighted pdf epub mobi 用戶評價

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試圖介紹在復雜情況下如果做決定，尤其是有長遠影響的決定，基本上是三步：full spectrum mapping（時間和集思很重要），prediction（需要藉助專傢），decision making（這裏寫得語焉不詳）。全書湊瞭一大堆例子，但也沒有任何具體的執行建議。可取的一點是，這本書批評瞭《think, fast and slow》以及《如何做齣正確決定》裏的錯誤：復雜的決定還是依賴“理智腦”而非“情緒鬧”更靠譜。

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有的小失望。作者講述的無外乎就是設計地圖，想象發展，然後做齣決定。最後如何做齣決定還是幾乎沒有說清楚。還提到要大量閱讀文學作品，因為在他人的生活裏可以想象聯係如何做決定。

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Farsighted 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載