The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics

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辜朝明,日本首屈一指的證券公司——野村證券旗下的研究機構野村綜閤研究所的首席經濟學傢,連續近10年被日本資本和金融市場人士選為最受信賴的經濟學傢之一,並為日本曆屆首相就如何應對日本經濟與銀行問題提供谘詢。

進入野村證券之前,他作為經濟學傢任職於紐約聯邦儲備銀行,獲得過美國聯邦儲備委員會理事會博士會員的榮譽。他著述良多,同時也是早稻田大學客座教授,2001年被美國商業經濟學會授予艾布拉姆遜奬。他同時還是“商業周刊在綫”的專欄作傢以及日本內閣防務戰略會議的唯一一位非日本籍委員。

出版者:Wiley
作者:Richard C. Koo
出品人:
頁數:300
译者:
出版時間:2008-07-15
價格:USD 34.95
裝幀:Hardcover
isbn號碼:9780470823873
叢書系列:
圖書標籤:
  • 經濟學 
  • 日本 
  • 經濟 
  • 金融 
  • 宏觀經濟 
  • 經濟史 
  • 經濟危機 
  • 日本經濟 
  •  
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Japan's "Great Recession" lasted from approximately 1992 - 2007 and finally provided the economics profession with the necessary background to understand what actually happened during the US recession of the 1930s. The discoveries made, however, are so far-reaching that a large portion of economics literature will have to be modified to accommodate another half to the macro economic spectrum of possibilities that conventional theorists have overlooked. In particular, Japan's Great Recession showed that when faced with a massive fall in asset prices, companies typically jettison the conventional goal of profit maximization and move to minimize debt in order to restore their credit ratings. This shift in corporate priority, however, has huge theoretical as well as practical implications and opens up a whole new field of study. For example, the new insight can explain fully the precise mechanism of prolonged depression and liquidity trap which conventional economics - based on corporate profit maximization - has so far failed to offer as a convincing explanation. The author developed the idea of yin and yang business cycles where the conventional world of profit maximization is the yang and the world of balance sheet recession, where companies are minimizing debt, is the yin. Once so divided, many varied theories developed in macro economics since the 1930s can be nicely categorized into a single comprehensive theory, i.e., the Holy Grail of macro economics The policy implication of this new discovery is immense in that the conventional aversion to fiscal policy in favor of monetary policy will have to be completely reversed when the economy is in the yin phase. The theoretical implications are also immense in the sense that the economics profession will no longer have to rely so much on various rigidities to explain recessions that have become the standard practice within the so-called New Keynesian economics of the last twenty years.

具體描述

讀後感

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評分

辜朝明提齣瞭“資産負債錶衰退”這個概念,並將日本衰退歸納為一個循環周期。 1.相比純理性的利潤最大化,在資不抵債的狀況下會從根本上改變企業或個人的行為目標,轉變為負債最小化,這種微觀的正確行為,如果無數企業和個人加以執行,就會形成閤成謬誤,導緻大傢都陷入資産負...

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銀行、保險、證券公司等金融機構是國民經濟的心髒,如果心髒失血過多,經濟會有什麼後果,我們又該怎麼辦? 野村證券研究所辜朝明(Richard Koo)的新書《宏觀經濟學的聖杯:日本經濟大蕭條的教訓》(The Holy Grail of Macroeconomics: Lessons from the Great Depression of ...  

評分

試圖對中國的經濟危機多一點瞭解,找些國外的危機史看看。跟中國最相似的,是90年代的日本,順差,高儲蓄率,堅挺的貨幣,利率降到0。辜朝明,野村研究所的首席經濟學傢,對那段曆史有相當的發言權。 該書的核心理論是“資産負債錶衰退”,由於資産價格泡沫的破滅,使得大...  

評分

《大衰退》一書的模式有點類似於經濟學論文。遵循分析事實-推理-總結-預測的邏輯順序: 1.分析日本長達15年的經濟衰退,尋找其中的原因:資産負債錶的衰退 2.深入分析其中資産負債錶衰退的典型特徵,推導齣負債錶衰退理論 3.把資産負債錶衰退理論推廣到1929年後美國經濟大蕭條 4...  

用戶評價

评分

現有框架下的新角度,但是相對對日本解釋力強一點,書名取得還是有點大

评分

想法不錯,太囉嗦瞭。

评分

想法不錯,太囉嗦瞭。

评分

現有框架下的新角度,但是相對對日本解釋力強一點,書名取得還是有點大

评分

神作!神作!神作!

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