Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书著者简介

Marko Papic

Partner & Chief Strategist

Clocktower Group

Marko is a Partner and Chief Strategist at Clocktower Group, an alternative investment asset management firm based in Santa Monica, California. He leads the firm's Strategy Team, providing bespoke research to clients and partners on geopolitics, macroeconomics, and markets.

Prior to joining the firm, Marko founded BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy practice (GPS) in 2012, the financial industry's first dedicated political analysis investment strategy. The GPS service generated geopolitical alpha by identifying gaps between the market's political expectations and the firm's forecasts. Marko was a Senior Vice President and the firm's Chief Geopolitical Strategist.

Marko began his career as a Senior Analyst at Stratfor, a global intelligence agency where he contributed to the firm's global geopolitical strategy as well as its analyst recruitment and training program. In his academic work, he helped create the Center for European Union Studies at the University of Texas at Austin. Marko holds an MA in Political Science from the University of Texas at Austin and an MA from the University of British Columbia.

He is the author of Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future (Wiley 2020), a book that introduces his constraints-based framework to investors. He has lived in seven countries on three continents.

www.geopoliticalalpha.com

www.clocktowergroup.com

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发表于2024-12-23

Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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在复旦大学兰小欢的微博推荐上看到的这本书，翻了一下确实非常好。巴菲特说他不关心宏观，确实看到有非常多的投资者掉到了宏大叙事，宏观分析的陷阱里，和某些长期无法证伪的变量纠缠在一起，耽误了宝贵的时间精力。而作者对地缘政治的切入角度和通过无法改变的约束来进行预测...

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出版者:Wiley

作者:Marko Papic

出品人:

页数:304

译者:

出版时间:2020-10-15

价格:USD 20.59

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9781119740216

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Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书图书描述

Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so. Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye towards generating investment-relevant insights.

Geopolitical Alpha posits that investors should ignore the media-hyped narratives, insights from "smoke-filled rooms," and most of their political consultants and, instead, focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers. In the tug-of-war between policymaker preferences and their constraints, the latter always win out in the end. Papic uses a wealth of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint-framework to generate Geopolitical Alpha. In the process, the book discusses:

What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade

Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk

How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns

Perfect for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.

Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 用户评价

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挺好的宏观政经怯魅读物。Preferences are optional and subject to constraints. Constraints are neither optional nor subject to preferences. 理解每个政治家决策时面临的constraints比起找一堆ex官员打听各种内幕消息要重要的多（英国脱欧 / 希腊留欧 / 中美贸易战这种事情和几个关键决策人的主观倾向关系不大，最后还是要算客观收益）。但当然政治家也没有那么理性，作者在21年预言说俄罗斯不会主动发起战争（因为资源出口主要面向欧洲），今年就被啪啪打脸，靠宏观赚钱真是太难了。

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好书，但是我们无法像作者一样做彻底的全球主义者

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地缘政治与宏观经济趋势。“From the above decade trends, I concluded that treating politics and geopolitics as an externality to markets made no sense.” 嘲讽开启，笑死。第二章长篇分析中国时有点准。后面关于 a Multipolar World 的论断也有意思，反我刻板逻辑。总之，因为别人推荐所以囫囵吞枣扫了一遍自己能看懂的部分，还是觉得力所未能及。“Falsehood flies, but truth comes limping after.”

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Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书