Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书著者简介

Marko Papic

Partner & Chief Strategist

Clocktower Group

Marko is a Partner and Chief Strategist at Clocktower Group, an alternative investment asset management firm based in Santa Monica, California. He leads the firm's Strategy Team, providing bespoke research to clients and partners on geopolitics, macroeconomics, and markets.

Prior to joining the firm, Marko founded BCA Research's Geopolitical Strategy practice (GPS) in 2012, the financial industry's first dedicated political analysis investment strategy. The GPS service generated geopolitical alpha by identifying gaps between the market's political expectations and the firm's forecasts. Marko was a Senior Vice President and the firm's Chief Geopolitical Strategist.

Marko began his career as a Senior Analyst at Stratfor, a global intelligence agency where he contributed to the firm's global geopolitical strategy as well as its analyst recruitment and training program. In his academic work, he helped create the Center for European Union Studies at the University of Texas at Austin. Marko holds an MA in Political Science from the University of Texas at Austin and an MA from the University of British Columbia.

He is the author of Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future (Wiley 2020), a book that introduces his constraints-based framework to investors. He has lived in seven countries on three continents.

www.geopoliticalalpha.com

www.clocktowergroup.com

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发表于2024-06-02

Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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在复旦大学兰小欢的微博推荐上看到的这本书，翻了一下确实非常好。巴菲特说他不关心宏观，确实看到有非常多的投资者掉到了宏大叙事，宏观分析的陷阱里，和某些长期无法证伪的变量纠缠在一起，耽误了宝贵的时间精力。而作者对地缘政治的切入角度和通过无法改变的约束来进行预测...

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出版者:Wiley

作者:Marko Papic

出品人:

页数:304

译者:

出版时间:2020-10-15

价格:USD 20.59

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9781119740216

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Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书图书描述

Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so. Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye towards generating investment-relevant insights.

Geopolitical Alpha posits that investors should ignore the media-hyped narratives, insights from "smoke-filled rooms," and most of their political consultants and, instead, focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers. In the tug-of-war between policymaker preferences and their constraints, the latter always win out in the end. Papic uses a wealth of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint-framework to generate Geopolitical Alpha. In the process, the book discusses:

What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade

Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk

How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns

Perfect for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.

Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 用户评价

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微博看到兰小欢推荐，看到了友邻的翻译版

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喜欢这种塔勒布类型文风的投资者的书，躬身入局的投资人说话就是比拿着水晶杯的分析师们更真实和勇敢，没有既要又要的追求全面，而是现实性务实的表达了自己对地缘政治的个人认识和理解维度的出发点——约束决定政策偏好，后面的解释和预测也都与初始设定相互自洽，很有启发的一本书

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库斯图里卡版的塔勒布那种感觉

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地缘政治与宏观经济趋势。“From the above decade trends, I concluded that treating politics and geopolitics as an externality to markets made no sense.” 嘲讽开启，笑死。第二章长篇分析中国时有点准。后面关于 a Multipolar World 的论断也有意思，反我刻板逻辑。总之，因为别人推荐所以囫囵吞枣扫了一遍自己能看懂的部分，还是觉得力所未能及。“Falsehood flies, but truth comes limping after.”

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22-06-07：兰老师推荐。/基于约束而不是偏好的一种分析方法。印象深刻处：2015希腊危机，多极力量分析。

Geopolitical Alpha 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书