After every crisis economists and policy analysts ask: can better models help prevent or ameliorate such situations? This book provides an answer. Yes, quantitative models can help if we remember that they are rough approximations to a vastly more complex reality. Models can help if we include realistic but simple representations of uncertainty among our models, and if we retain the pre-eminence of human judgment over the churning of our computers. Info-gap theory is a new method for modeling and managing severe uncertainty. The core of the book presents detailed examples of info-gap analysis of decisions in monetary policy, financial economics, environmental economics for pollution control and climate change, estimation and forecasting. This book is essential reading for economic policy analysts and researchers.
發表於2024-09-12
Info-Gap Economics 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
圖書標籤: 經濟學 猶太 決策論 以色列 Yakov_Ben-Haim Informationswirtschaft CS
Info-Gap Economics 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載