Erica Chenoweth is an assistant professor of government at Wesleyan University. Previously she was a fellow at Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government and a visiting fellow at the University of California at Berkeley's Institute of International Studies.
Maria J. Stephan is a strategic planner with the U.S. Department of State. Formerly she served as director of policy and research at the International Center on Nonviolent Conflict (ICNC) and as an adjunct professor at Georgetown University and American University. She has also been a fellow at the Kennedy School of Government's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs.
For more than a century, from 1900 to 2006, campaigns of nonviolent resistance were more than twice as effective as their violent counterparts in achieving their stated goals. By attracting impressive support from citizens, whose activism takes the form of protests, boycotts, civil disobedience, and other forms of nonviolent noncooperation, these efforts help separate regimes from their main sources of power and produce remarkable results, even in Iran, Burma, the Philippines, and the Palestinian Territories.
Combining statistical analysis with case studies of specific countries and territories, Erica Chenoweth and Maria J. Stephan detail the factors enabling such campaigns to succeed and, sometimes, causing them to fail. They find that nonviolent resistance presents fewer obstacles to moral and physical involvement and commitment, and that higher levels of participation contribute to enhanced resilience, greater opportunities for tactical innovation and civic disruption (and therefore less incentive for a regime to maintain its status quo), and shifts in loyalty among opponents' erstwhile supporters, including members of the military establishment.
Chenoweth and Stephan conclude that successful nonviolent resistance ushers in more durable and internally peaceful democracies, which are less likely to regress into civil war. Presenting a rich, evidentiary argument, they originally and systematically compare violent and nonviolent outcomes in different historical periods and geographical contexts, debunking the myth that violence occurs because of structural and environmental factors and that it is necessary to achieve certain political goals. Instead, the authors discover, violent insurgency is rarely justifiable on strategic grounds.
20150520.阅读效率都是被活活逼出来的……书观点还行,论证有点问题……
评分oppressive regimes need the loyalty of their personnel to carry out their orders, violent resistance tends to reinforce that loyalty, while civil resistance undermines it, when security forces refuse orders to fire on peaceful protesters, regimes must accommodate the opposition or give up their power
评分oppressive regimes need the loyalty of their personnel to carry out their orders, violent resistance tends to reinforce that loyalty, while civil resistance undermines it, when security forces refuse orders to fire on peaceful protesters, regimes must accommodate the opposition or give up their power
评分到底有多representative不敢说,感觉很有偏向性,但是观点非常有趣,case study也非常好读,总体来说还是很informative的
评分到底有多representative不敢说,感觉很有偏向性,但是观点非常有趣,case study也非常好读,总体来说还是很informative的
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