The Signal and the Noise 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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发表于2024-06-12

The Signal and the Noise 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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出版者:Allen Lane

作者:Nate Silver

出品人:

页数:544

译者:

出版时间:2012-9-27

价格:USD 8.99

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9781846147524

丛书系列:

图书标签: 预见力预测金融美国社会经科 Silver Nate

The Signal and the Noise 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书图书描述

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events. In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times' political forecaster and statistics guru Nate Silver explores the art of prediction, revealing how we can all build a better crystal ball.

In his quest to distinguish the true signal from a universe of noisy data, Silver visits hundreds of expert forecasters, in fields ranging from the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to terrorism. What lies behind their success? And why do so many predictions still fail? By analysing the rare prescient forecasts, and applying a more quantitative lens to everyday life, Silver distils the essential lessons of prediction.

We live in an increasingly data-driven world, but it is harder than ever to detect the true patterns amid the noise of information. In this dazzling insider's tour of the world of forecasting, Silver reveals how we can all develop better foresight in our everyday lives.

The Signal and the Noise 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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