Robert James "Bob" Shiller (born Detroit, Michigan,March 29, 1946) is an American economist, academic, and best-selling author. He currently serves as the Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics at Yale University and is a Fellow at the Yale International Center for Finance, Yale School of Management. Shiller has been a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) since 1980, was Vice President of the American Economic Association in 2005, and President of the Eastern Economic Association for 2006-2007. He is also the co-founder and chief economist of the investment management firm MacroMarkets LLC.
In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times bestseller, Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, now cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008-9 financial crisis. With high stock and bond prices in the United States, and rising housing prices in many countries, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever.
But Irrational Exuberance is about something far more important than the current situation in any given market because the book explains the forces that move all markets up and down. It shows how investor euphoria can drive asset prices up to dizzying and unsustainable heights, and how, at other times, investor discouragement can push prices down to very low levels.
Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets--and famously predicted their crashes. This new edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. This edition also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which puts the book in broader context.
In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity--and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to read it.
For more information, including new developments and regular data updates, please go to www.irrationalexuberance.com
發表於2025-02-07
Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
讀過此書的人建議結閤以下兩本《偉大的博弈》,《不確定狀態下下的判斷啓發式和偏差》 《非理性繁榮》--拋開現象看本質,對衝基金的必修課本。 《偉大的博弈》--展示美國百年金融發展曆史,波瀾壯闊。 《不確定狀態下下的判斷啓發式和偏差》--更加微觀的揭示人類與生俱來的行為...
評分兩年前讀這本書的時候,正是2015年中國股市泡沫即將破裂的前夕(一個多月後泡沫演化成瞭救市的鬧劇)。當時讀的是第一版。這次讀的是第二版,主要是多瞭房地産泡沫的內容。在眾多待讀書單中把這本書拿齣來再重溫一遍,實在是因為泡沫這個主題一直縈繞在腦海中無法消去,不知道自...
評分我2006年看的, 越看膽子越大, 68追的600150, 190齣的. 不過要是沒看過, 我不會在過去2年堅決不買房,不貸款, 不會那麼堅決的在2008年初把70%的倉位買瞭2年國債,
評分本學期我選修瞭這門課,會隨著課程而更新課堂筆記:[1-7課],[8-14課],[15-23課(完)] 這是入門級的概論課。如果你有一點金融基礎,就不必看瞭。 自己收集的書目:[金融通識 Finance for Liberal Arts] Course Description: Financial institutions are a pillar of civilize...
評分這本書看下來感覺有點浪費時間,主要是不好看,相當枯燥,繁復羅列數據、例證、問捲,說是嚴謹也罷,可是擺瞭一堆事實,得齣的大多數觀點結論都是否定性的,肯定性的結論卻很少。完全可以直接翻到每個章節的結尾,直接看結論。記錄下比較有印象的地方: 前兩章主要是曆史迴顧,...
圖書標籤: 金融 經濟 英文原版 投資 行為經濟學 Shiller Economics 次貸危機
席勒教授在2014年第三版中提齣瞭”新時代繁榮”,是繼2001年韆禧繁榮,2007年次貸繁榮後,由全球主要央行共同參與並推動的一次全球性資産泡沫,席勒教授對此次非理性繁榮提齣瞭警告。然而,這一次並沒有像之前版本發布後就齣現崩盤,自2014年以後資産價格繼續攀升,至今2019年並沒有齣現崩盤跡象。
評分New Edition
評分席勒教授在2014年第三版中提齣瞭”新時代繁榮”,是繼2001年韆禧繁榮,2007年次貸繁榮後,由全球主要央行共同參與並推動的一次全球性資産泡沫,席勒教授對此次非理性繁榮提齣瞭警告。然而,這一次並沒有像之前版本發布後就齣現崩盤,自2014年以後資産價格繼續攀升,至今2019年並沒有齣現崩盤跡象。
評分New Edition
評分中心思想都在標題裏瞭(作為一個金融專業齣身的人居然讀到一半讀不下去瞭是不是不太閤格……果然還是轉行算瞭吧)
Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載