Leonard Mlodinow was born in Chicago, Illinois, received his PhD in theoretical physics from the University of California at Berkeley, and is the author of five best-sellers. His book The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules our Lives was a New York Times Bestseller, Editor's Choice, and Notable Book of the Year, and was short-listed for the Royal Society book award. His book Subliminal won the PEN/Wilson award for literary science writing. His other books include two co-authored with physicist Stephen Hawking -- A Briefer History of Time, and The Grand Design. In addition to his books and research articles, he has taught at Caltech, written for the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and Forbes magazine, among other publications, and for television series such as McGyver and Star Trek: the Next Generation. www.leonardmlodinow.com
发表于2025-03-24
The Drunkard's Walk 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书
所谓醉汉的脚步,是一个用来描述随机运动的数学术语。作者Leonard Mlodinow以此命名其书,是给读者一个直观冲击:生活中的很多事情,如同宿醉者的脚步一般难以预测。写作此书,也是为了在研究随机性的学术圈和普罗大众之间搭起一座桥梁,那些被学术精英们用来研究和理解醉汉的...
评分读书笔记 - 文字摘录地址:http://book.douban.com/annotation/19550698/ 芝诺悖论 古希腊数学家芝诺(Zeno of Elea)提出的一系列关于运动的不可分性的哲学悖论。这些悖论由于被记录在亚里士多德的《物理学》一书中而为后人所知。芝诺提出这些悖论是为了支持他老师巴门尼德...
评分所谓醉汉的脚步,是一个用来描述随机运动的数学术语。作者Leonard Mlodinow以此命名其书,是给读者一个直观冲击:生活中的很多事情,如同宿醉者的脚步一般难以预测。写作此书,也是为了在研究随机性的学术圈和普罗大众之间搭起一座桥梁,那些被学术精英们用来研究和理解醉汉的...
评分 评分各种奇妙而有趣的故事穿插在书中,通过多个维度告诉我们随机性在我们生活中扮演着多么重要的角色。要意识到并承认这一点是非常困难的,因为人脑是基于“因果”而进化而来的。要说服一个人相信他的成功或者失败具有极大的随机性是反人性的。但读过这本书的人在认知上明显可以高...
图书标签: 概率统计 统计学 概率 statistics 思维 心理学 统计 数学
In this irreverent and illuminating book, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, change, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious cases, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.
The rise and fall of your favorite movie star of the most reviled CEO--in fact, of all our destinies--reflects as much as planning and innate abilities. Even the legendary Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth's single-season home run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky. And it might be shocking to realize that you are twice as likely to be killed in a car accident on your way to buying a lottery ticket than you are to win the lottery.
How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars, the highest rating, in one journal and in another it was called the worst wine of the decade? Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of change and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor's office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow's insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.
Offering readers not only a tour of randomness, chance, and probability but also a new way of looking at the world, this original, unexpected journey reminds us that much in our lives is about as predictable as the steps of a stumbling man fresh from a night at the bar.
作者是牛人,书质量也很好。这本科普作品基本上就是帮助人们消除各种谬误的,很多表面看上去理所当然的事其实完全不是那么回事,而一些表面看上去不正常的事反而存在较优的理解方法,关键是要对数据科学有正确的认识。本书的难度不高,没有枯燥的数学公式,有的是大量的历史故事和实际例子,所以作为入门级的课外读物是极好的,我如果有孩子一定会让他读的。对了,最后一章是反对决定论的,虽然此书更多是将社会层面的事,但正好和我最近关注的反基因决定论、反环境决定论和反基因-环境决定论相联系,果然复杂(动态网络)系统才是最有苗头的方向呀,哈哈哈。
评分醉汉的脚步
评分顺着历史脉络梳理了自己常常倏地跳出狂外的不切实际,解惑,自省。
评分A great book that ends on a sober note.
评分作者是牛人,书质量也很好。这本科普作品基本上就是帮助人们消除各种谬误的,很多表面看上去理所当然的事其实完全不是那么回事,而一些表面看上去不正常的事反而存在较优的理解方法,关键是要对数据科学有正确的认识。本书的难度不高,没有枯燥的数学公式,有的是大量的历史故事和实际例子,所以作为入门级的课外读物是极好的,我如果有孩子一定会让他读的。对了,最后一章是反对决定论的,虽然此书更多是将社会层面的事,但正好和我最近关注的反基因决定论、反环境决定论和反基因-环境决定论相联系,果然复杂(动态网络)系统才是最有苗头的方向呀,哈哈哈。
The Drunkard's Walk 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书