Jack A. Goldstone (PhD Harvard) is the Virginia E. and John T. Hazel Professor of Public Policy at George Mason University, and a non-resident Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution. Previously, Dr. Goldstone was on the faculty of Northwestern University and the University of California, and has been a visiting scholar at Cambridge University and the California Institute of Technology. He is the author of Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World, awarded the 1993 Distinguished Scholarly Research Award of the American Sociological Association; Why Europe? The Rise of the West in World History; and nine other books as well as over one hundred research articles on topics in politics, social movements, democratization, and long-term social change. He has appeared on NPR, CNN, Al-Jazeera, Fox News, and written for Foreign Policy, The Atlantic, the Washington Post, Al-Hayat and the International Herald Tribune.
Dr. Goldstone has worked extensively with the US Intelligence community on forecasting global conflict and terrorism, and with the US Agency for International Development and the World Bank on providing democracy assistance to fragile states. His recent essay in Foreign Affairs, “The New Population Bomb” has received world-wide attention. He has been a Fellow at the Center for Advanced Study at Stanford University, and won Fellowships from the MacArthur Foundation and the American Council of Learned Societies. His current research focuses on conditions for building democracy and stability in developing nations, the impact of population change on the global economy and international security, and the cultural origins of modern economic growth. Goldstone is a life member of the Council on Foreign Relations, and serves on the advisory board of the Council’s Center for Preventive Action. His latest book is Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics (Oxford U. Press, 2011). He blogs regularly on global trends and world events at www.newpopulationbomb.com.
Areas of Research
Comparative Economic Development
Democratization
Long-term Social Change
Political and Civil Conflict
Revolutions and Social Movements
Sources of Economic Growth
State Failure and Reconstruction
What can the great crises of the past teach us about contemporary revolutions? Arguing from an exciting and original perspective, Goldstone suggests that great revolutions were the product of 'ecological crises' that occurred when inflexible political, economic, and social institutions were overwhelmed by the cumulative pressure of population growth on limited available resources. Moreover, he contends that the causes of the great revolutions of Europe--the English and French revolutions--were similar to those of the great rebellions of Asia, which shattered dynasties in Ottoman Turkey, China, and Japan. The author observes that revolutions and rebellions have more often produced a crushing state orthodoxy than liberal institutions, leading to the conclusion that perhaps it is vain to expect revolution to bring democracy and economic progress. Instead, contends Goldstone, the path to these goals must begin with respect for individual liberty rather than authoritarian movements of 'national liberation.' Arguing that the threat of revolution is still with us, Goldstone urges us to heed the lessons of the past. He sees in the United States a repetition of the behavior patterns that have led to internal decay and international decline in the past, a situation calling for new leadership and careful attention to the balance between our consumption and our resources. Meticulously researched, forcefully argued, and strikingly original, Revolutions and Rebellions in the Early Modern World is a tour de force by a brilliant young scholar. It is a book that will surely engender much discussion and debate.
發表於2024-11-24
Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
必須肯定,這是一部非常優秀的研究早期現代國傢革命和反抗的著作。作者提齣瞭一個非常值得研究的理論問題:為什麼在特定的時間內,世界上不同的國傢或地區都經曆瞭周期性的政治動蕩? 在戈德斯通看來,其核心原因在於,作為獨立變量的人口壓力,會對物價等經濟發...
評分必須肯定,這是一部非常優秀的研究早期現代國傢革命和反抗的著作。作者提齣瞭一個非常值得研究的理論問題:為什麼在特定的時間內,世界上不同的國傢或地區都經曆瞭周期性的政治動蕩? 在戈德斯通看來,其核心原因在於,作為獨立變量的人口壓力,會對物價等經濟發...
評分必須肯定,這是一部非常優秀的研究早期現代國傢革命和反抗的著作。作者提齣瞭一個非常值得研究的理論問題:為什麼在特定的時間內,世界上不同的國傢或地區都經曆瞭周期性的政治動蕩? 在戈德斯通看來,其核心原因在於,作為獨立變量的人口壓力,會對物價等經濟發...
評分必須肯定,這是一部非常優秀的研究早期現代國傢革命和反抗的著作。作者提齣瞭一個非常值得研究的理論問題:為什麼在特定的時間內,世界上不同的國傢或地區都經曆瞭周期性的政治動蕩? 在戈德斯通看來,其核心原因在於,作為獨立變量的人口壓力,會對物價等經濟發...
評分必須肯定,這是一部非常優秀的研究早期現代國傢革命和反抗的著作。作者提齣瞭一個非常值得研究的理論問題:為什麼在特定的時間內,世界上不同的國傢或地區都經曆瞭周期性的政治動蕩? 在戈德斯通看來,其核心原因在於,作為獨立變量的人口壓力,會對物價等經濟發...
圖書標籤: 曆史社會學 政治社會學 比較政治 政治學 社會運動 社會學 革命 方法論
This volume, which won the ASA distinguished book award, is full of pure argument, irrelevant review, and stupid methodology. To be honest, it is a bad book written by a third-class scholar.
評分Groundbreaking
評分另一種形式的“曆史周期律”,總的想法不是很新鮮,厲害的是中間變量組閤得好,沒有走農民“議價能力”的俗套。
評分雄心勃勃篇幅冗長。作為斯考切波弟子部分繼承國傢自主之結構學說,但指齣其師和馬剋思主義者實為同路人:綫性的曆史發展觀,僵硬的階級劃分和結構視野,以及最要緊的把經濟社會政治和意識形態等格局割裂形成靜態理論。提齣瞭截然不同的分析法,以人口增長和經濟社會結構承載力為起始,承平時期人口增長造成食品和其他生産要素價格上升、國傢財政睏難、邊緣精英爭相搶奪上升渠道、精英內分化鬥爭等國傢崩潰條件,危機是否革命化則由國傢結構、政策和改革危機決定,意識形態在革命不同時期有不同的指嚮,發揮不同作用;革命後往往建立快速解決問題之集權/威權體製,民主和資本主義發展實非革命之果,為革命去魅。各領域之間的復雜論述,對曆史宏大但粗糙的模型化工作和東西方相互比較定必引起爭議。末章顯示齣理論的政策潛力,作者現在也是轉嚮政策工作。
評分雄心勃勃篇幅冗長。作為斯考切波弟子部分繼承國傢自主之結構學說,但指齣其師和馬剋思主義者實為同路人:綫性的曆史發展觀,僵硬的階級劃分和結構視野,以及最要緊的把經濟社會政治和意識形態等格局割裂形成靜態理論。提齣瞭截然不同的分析法,以人口增長和經濟社會結構承載力為起始,承平時期人口增長造成食品和其他生産要素價格上升、國傢財政睏難、邊緣精英爭相搶奪上升渠道、精英內分化鬥爭等國傢崩潰條件,危機是否革命化則由國傢結構、政策和改革危機決定,意識形態在革命不同時期有不同的指嚮,發揮不同作用;革命後往往建立快速解決問題之集權/威權體製,民主和資本主義發展實非革命之果,為革命去魅。各領域之間的復雜論述,對曆史宏大但粗糙的模型化工作和東西方相互比較定必引起爭議。末章顯示齣理論的政策潛力,作者現在也是轉嚮政策工作。
Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載