Jack A. Goldstone (PhD Harvard) is the Virginia E. and John T. Hazel Professor of Public Policy at George Mason University, and a non-resident Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution. Previously, Dr. Goldstone was on the faculty of Northwestern University and the University of California, and has been a visiting scholar at Cambridge University and the California Institute of Technology. He is the author of Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World, awarded the 1993 Distinguished Scholarly Research Award of the American Sociological Association; Why Europe? The Rise of the West in World History; and nine other books as well as over one hundred research articles on topics in politics, social movements, democratization, and long-term social change. He has appeared on NPR, CNN, Al-Jazeera, Fox News, and written for Foreign Policy, The Atlantic, the Washington Post, Al-Hayat and the International Herald Tribune.
Dr. Goldstone has worked extensively with the US Intelligence community on forecasting global conflict and terrorism, and with the US Agency for International Development and the World Bank on providing democracy assistance to fragile states. His recent essay in Foreign Affairs, “The New Population Bomb” has received world-wide attention. He has been a Fellow at the Center for Advanced Study at Stanford University, and won Fellowships from the MacArthur Foundation and the American Council of Learned Societies. His current research focuses on conditions for building democracy and stability in developing nations, the impact of population change on the global economy and international security, and the cultural origins of modern economic growth. Goldstone is a life member of the Council on Foreign Relations, and serves on the advisory board of the Council’s Center for Preventive Action. His latest book is Political Demography: How Population Changes are Reshaping International Security and National Politics (Oxford U. Press, 2011). He blogs regularly on global trends and world events at www.newpopulationbomb.com.
Areas of Research
Comparative Economic Development
Democratization
Long-term Social Change
Political and Civil Conflict
Revolutions and Social Movements
Sources of Economic Growth
State Failure and Reconstruction
What can the great crises of the past teach us about contemporary revolutions? Arguing from an exciting and original perspective, Goldstone suggests that great revolutions were the product of 'ecological crises' that occurred when inflexible political, economic, and social institutions were overwhelmed by the cumulative pressure of population growth on limited available resources. Moreover, he contends that the causes of the great revolutions of Europe--the English and French revolutions--were similar to those of the great rebellions of Asia, which shattered dynasties in Ottoman Turkey, China, and Japan. The author observes that revolutions and rebellions have more often produced a crushing state orthodoxy than liberal institutions, leading to the conclusion that perhaps it is vain to expect revolution to bring democracy and economic progress. Instead, contends Goldstone, the path to these goals must begin with respect for individual liberty rather than authoritarian movements of 'national liberation.' Arguing that the threat of revolution is still with us, Goldstone urges us to heed the lessons of the past. He sees in the United States a repetition of the behavior patterns that have led to internal decay and international decline in the past, a situation calling for new leadership and careful attention to the balance between our consumption and our resources. Meticulously researched, forcefully argued, and strikingly original, Revolutions and Rebellions in the Early Modern World is a tour de force by a brilliant young scholar. It is a book that will surely engender much discussion and debate.
發表於2025-01-13
Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
【摘要】"革命的國傢中心理論"是曆史社會學領域分析社會革命之原因和後果的一條路徑,其誕生是社會學轉嚮的結果。該理論以斯考切波的社會結構模型、戈德斯通的人口/結構模型和伍斯諾的聯閤衝突理論為代錶。斯考切波通過考察以國傢為中心的結構性條件,對社會革命的原因和後果進行...
評分必須肯定,這是一部非常優秀的研究早期現代國傢革命和反抗的著作。作者提齣瞭一個非常值得研究的理論問題:為什麼在特定的時間內,世界上不同的國傢或地區都經曆瞭周期性的政治動蕩? 在戈德斯通看來,其核心原因在於,作為獨立變量的人口壓力,會對物價等經濟發...
評分必須肯定,這是一部非常優秀的研究早期現代國傢革命和反抗的著作。作者提齣瞭一個非常值得研究的理論問題:為什麼在特定的時間內,世界上不同的國傢或地區都經曆瞭周期性的政治動蕩? 在戈德斯通看來,其核心原因在於,作為獨立變量的人口壓力,會對物價等經濟發...
評分必須肯定,這是一部非常優秀的研究早期現代國傢革命和反抗的著作。作者提齣瞭一個非常值得研究的理論問題:為什麼在特定的時間內,世界上不同的國傢或地區都經曆瞭周期性的政治動蕩? 在戈德斯通看來,其核心原因在於,作為獨立變量的人口壓力,會對物價等經濟發...
評分【摘要】"革命的國傢中心理論"是曆史社會學領域分析社會革命之原因和後果的一條路徑,其誕生是社會學轉嚮的結果。該理論以斯考切波的社會結構模型、戈德斯通的人口/結構模型和伍斯諾的聯閤衝突理論為代錶。斯考切波通過考察以國傢為中心的結構性條件,對社會革命的原因和後果進行...
圖書標籤: 曆史社會學 政治社會學 比較政治 政治學 社會運動 社會學 革命 方法論
另一種形式的“曆史周期律”,總的想法不是很新鮮,厲害的是中間變量組閤得好,沒有走農民“議價能力”的俗套。
評分另一種形式的“曆史周期律”,總的想法不是很新鮮,厲害的是中間變量組閤得好,沒有走農民“議價能力”的俗套。
評分講句前無古人後無來者,應該不過分吧;雖說論證過於鬆散,但恐怕也是沒辦法.
評分This volume, which won the ASA distinguished book award, is full of pure argument, irrelevant review, and stupid methodology. To be honest, it is a bad book written by a third-class scholar.
評分Groundbreaking
Revolution and Rebellion in the Early Modern World 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載