The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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发表于2025-01-31

The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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许多人都说这本书的专业度不够，看来我以后还得研究研究数学。开头说贝叶斯法则一言以蔽之，就是通过参考新的客观信息，可以将我们的旧观念改进为更好的观念。并说，这是一个从experience，empirical，或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理论的情况下，做判断的良好方法。也就是说，它...

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出版者:Yale University Press

作者:Sharon Bertsch McGrayne

出品人:

页数:336

译者:

出版时间:2011-5-17

价格:USD 27.50

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9780300169690

丛书系列:

图书标签: 数学贝叶斯统计学概率历史思维统计 Bayesian

The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书图书描述

Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, "The Theory That Would Not Die" is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest scientific controversies of all time. Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years - at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II, and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA decoding to Homeland Security. "The Theory That Would Not Die" is a vivid account of the generations-long dispute over one of the greatest breakthroughs in the history of applied mathematics and statistics.

The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 用户评价

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读这本书的确有一个问题，那就是就算从头到尾一字不漏，没有统计学基础的读者仍不会明白贝叶斯统计学的数学原理，因为实际上作者只给出了最最基础的贝叶斯公式和最最简单的一些描述，其它的都是历史故事。但是在我看来，这本历史科普书打从一开始的目标恐怕就不是讲解数学，还是更多展现出一副在数学概率学统计学专业书中往往一笔带过的历史长卷。对于我，读这本书从另一个角度加深了专业理解并提高了一些兴趣，尤其在今天，相应的问题其实并没有得到彻底的解决，仍有很多讨论各学派优劣的书籍不断出版，包括科普和专业的。而我们又应该如何应对这些问题呢？如此曲折离奇的历史，如此大牛云集的领域，以此书为起点准备冲锋是极好的。不只是数学相关专业，心理学专业学生也可以读读此书。May the beyesian be with you！！！

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It's about the history of the Baysian statistics. I enjoyed it. But I thought the book tried to hard to avoid any maths details, as if anybody who isn't a math lover would accidentally read this book. At places I really wish the author just put down an equation.

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作为一本历史书，我觉得还挺好的，各种小故事，很适合我这种学术八卦爱好者，虽然有些素材跟其他书是重复的。如果把这个当科普看，那就要失望了，一个讲数学应用的科普没有公式，这能想象么。看了下作者Sharon McGrayne的个人网站，Swarthmore College的B. A.出身，所以尽管这位阿姨写了好些关于科学家的书，也不停在学术会议上作报告（我觉得底下听的人感觉应该像我们听外国人说相声），但是我觉得她应该不懂，所以也不能苛求。

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The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书