Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, "The Theory That Would Not Die" is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest scientific controversies of all time. Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years - at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II, and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA decoding to Homeland Security. "The Theory That Would Not Die" is a vivid account of the generations-long dispute over one of the greatest breakthroughs in the history of applied mathematics and statistics.
發表於2024-10-31
The Theory That Would Not Die 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
許多人都說這本書的專業度不夠,看來我以後還得研究研究數學。 開頭說貝葉斯法則一言以蔽之,就是通過參考新的客觀信息,可以將我們的舊觀念改進為更好的觀念。並說,這是一個從experience,empirical,或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理論的情況下,做判斷的良好方法。也就是說,它...
評分許多人都說這本書的專業度不夠,看來我以後還得研究研究數學。 開頭說貝葉斯法則一言以蔽之,就是通過參考新的客觀信息,可以將我們的舊觀念改進為更好的觀念。並說,這是一個從experience,empirical,或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理論的情況下,做判斷的良好方法。也就是說,它...
評分許多人都說這本書的專業度不夠,看來我以後還得研究研究數學。 開頭說貝葉斯法則一言以蔽之,就是通過參考新的客觀信息,可以將我們的舊觀念改進為更好的觀念。並說,這是一個從experience,empirical,或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理論的情況下,做判斷的良好方法。也就是說,它...
評分許多人都說這本書的專業度不夠,看來我以後還得研究研究數學。 開頭說貝葉斯法則一言以蔽之,就是通過參考新的客觀信息,可以將我們的舊觀念改進為更好的觀念。並說,這是一個從experience,empirical,或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理論的情況下,做判斷的良好方法。也就是說,它...
評分許多人都說這本書的專業度不夠,看來我以後還得研究研究數學。 開頭說貝葉斯法則一言以蔽之,就是通過參考新的客觀信息,可以將我們的舊觀念改進為更好的觀念。並說,這是一個從experience,empirical,或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理論的情況下,做判斷的良好方法。也就是說,它...
圖書標籤: 數學 貝葉斯 統計學 概率 曆史 思維 統計 Bayesian
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評分精彩
評分作為一本曆史書,我覺得還挺好的,各種小故事,很適閤我這種學術八卦愛好者,雖然有些素材跟其他書是重復的。如果把這個當科普看,那就要失望瞭,一個講數學應用的科普沒有公式,這能想象麼。看瞭下作者Sharon McGrayne的個人網站,Swarthmore College的B. A.齣身,所以盡管這位阿姨寫瞭好些關於科學傢的書,也不停在學術會議上作報告(我覺得底下聽的人感覺應該像我們聽外國人說相聲),但是我覺得她應該不懂,所以也不能苛求。
評分貝葉斯學派的人應該也不怎麼喜歡這本書吧。
評分精彩
The Theory That Would Not Die 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載