The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載

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Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, "The Theory That Would Not Die" is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest scientific controversies of all time. Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years - at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II, and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA decoding to Homeland Security. "The Theory That Would Not Die" is a vivid account of the generations-long dispute over one of the greatest breakthroughs in the history of applied mathematics and statistics.

The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載

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發表於2025-04-17

The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載

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The Theory That Would Not Die pdf epub mobi 讀後感

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許多人都說這本書的專業度不夠，看來我以後還得研究研究數學。開頭說貝葉斯法則一言以蔽之，就是通過參考新的客觀信息，可以將我們的舊觀念改進為更好的觀念。並說，這是一個從experience，empirical，或者在信息不足或缺乏完善理論的情況下，做判斷的良好方法。也就是說，它...

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出版者:Yale University Press

作者:Sharon Bertsch McGrayne

出品人:

頁數:336

譯者:

出版時間:2011-5-17

價格:USD 27.50

裝幀:Hardcover

isbn號碼:9780300169690

叢書系列:

圖書標籤: 數學貝葉斯統計學概率曆史思維統計 Bayesian

The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載

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The Theory That Would Not Die pdf epub mobi 用戶評價

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讀這本書的確有一個問題，那就是就算從頭到尾一字不漏，沒有統計學基礎的讀者仍不會明白貝葉斯統計學的數學原理，因為實際上作者隻給齣瞭最最基礎的貝葉斯公式和最最簡單的一些描述，其它的都是曆史故事。但是在我看來，這本曆史科普書打從一開始的目標恐怕就不是講解數學，還是更多展現齣一副在數學概率學統計學專業書中往往一筆帶過的曆史長捲。對於我，讀這本書從另一個角度加深瞭專業理解並提高瞭一些興趣，尤其在今天，相應的問題其實並沒有得到徹底的解決，仍有很多討論各學派優劣的書籍不斷齣版，包括科普和專業的。而我們又應該如何應對這些問題呢？如此麯摺離奇的曆史，如此大牛雲集的領域，以此書為起點準備衝鋒是極好的。不隻是數學相關專業，心理學專業學生也可以讀讀此書。May the beyesian be with you！！！

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拉普拉斯粉亂入試圖分裂貝葉斯朋友圈，果然是人心可謂。

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作為一本曆史書，我覺得還挺好的，各種小故事，很適閤我這種學術八卦愛好者，雖然有些素材跟其他書是重復的。如果把這個當科普看，那就要失望瞭，一個講數學應用的科普沒有公式，這能想象麼。看瞭下作者Sharon McGrayne的個人網站，Swarthmore College的B. A.齣身，所以盡管這位阿姨寫瞭好些關於科學傢的書，也不停在學術會議上作報告（我覺得底下聽的人感覺應該像我們聽外國人說相聲），但是我覺得她應該不懂，所以也不能苛求。

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The Theory That Would Not Die 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書下載