Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书


Irrational Exuberance

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Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书 著者简介

Robert J. Shiller is the Stanley B. Resor Professor of Economics at Yale University. He is author of "The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21st Century" (Princeton) and "Market Volatility and Macro Markets", which won the 1996 Paul A. Samuelson Award.


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发表于2025-03-11

Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书

Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书

Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书



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Irrational Exuberance 电子书 读后感

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罗伯特.希勒的《非理性繁荣》对整个美国股市和楼市的梳理,论据充分、有条有理,不愧是大学问家的作品。而我越发觉得“地球上没有新事物”。一个对美国经济了解深刻的人对于世界其他地方的类似现象应该很容易把握,当然也越容易利用机会赚取财富。反推之,如果想了解当今中国的...  

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两年前读这本书的时候,正是2015年中国股市泡沫即将破裂的前夕(一个多月后泡沫演化成了救市的闹剧)。当时读的是第一版。这次读的是第二版,主要是多了房地产泡沫的内容。在众多待读书单中把这本书拿出来再重温一遍,实在是因为泡沫这个主题一直萦绕在脑海中无法消去,不知道自...  

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下面是我曾经写的book report,感兴趣的朋友可以拿此书来看。 我简单说说这书, 作者对于美国房产经济做了一番研究,此书有详细的对于次贷以前类似房产经纪引发的经济问题的研究。很多facts.从此你看书美国如何房地产经济的发展轨迹。 此书对于权威毫不吝啬的批评,认为次贷一...  

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用了两天的时间读完了《非理性繁荣》。想起本书成书于20世纪末,我不得不去佩服美国的一些经济学家所保有的清醒和冷静。再看看中国发展时间并不长的金融之路,我想,这本书给出了我们对股市更加有益的解读。虽然基于的是美国的具体国情,但是机理的阐述部分还是具有普遍...

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用了很多文献和统计讲了一些故事,一些让人推翻现有理念的故事。是可以把人们的思维空间扩展的书。书中的内容一言难尽。 有一个统计很有意思。在全球一年内跌幅最大的前十名股票中(58.4%--74.9%),其后一年内的价格变化有七次都是大涨,仅有两次下跌,大的跌幅仅为18% 。  

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出版者:Princeton University Press
作者:Robert J. Shiller
出品人:
页数:304
译者:
出版时间:2005-2-22
价格:USD 35.00
装帧:Hardcover
isbn号码:9780691123356
丛书系列:

图书标签: 金融  Finance  经济  经济学  IrrationalExuberate  Economics  Shiller  CFA   


Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书 图书描述

This first edition of this book was a broad study, drawing on a wide range of published research and historical evidence, of the enormous stock market boom that started around 1982 and picked up incredible speed after 1995. Although it took as its specific starting point this ongoing boom, it placed it in the context of stock market booms generally, and it also made concrete suggestions regarding policy changes that should be initiated in response to this and other such booms. The book argued that the boom represents a speculative bubble, not grounded in sensible economic fundamentals. Part one of the book considered structural factors behind the boom. A list of twelve precipitating factors that appear to be its ultimate causes was given. Amplification mechanisms, naturally-occurring Ponzi processes, that enlarge the effects of these precipitating factors, were described. Part Two discussed cultural factors, the effects of the news media, and of "new era" economic thinking. Part Three discussed psychological factors, psychological anchors for the market and herd behavior. Part Four discussed attempts to rationalize exuberance: efficient markets theory and theories that investors are learning. Part Five presented policy options and actions that should be taken. The second edition, 2005, added an analysis of the real estate bubble as similar to the stock market bubble that preceded it, and warned that "Significant further rises in these markets could lead, eventually, to even more significant declines. The bad outcome could be that eventual declines would result in a substantial increase in the rate of personal bankruptcies, which could lead to a secondary string of bankruptcies of financial institutions as well. Another long-run consequence could be a decline in consumer and business confidence, and another, possibly worldwide, recession." Thus, the second edition of this book was among the first to warn of the global financial crisis that began with the subprime mortgage debacle in 2007

点击链接进入中文版:

非理性繁荣(第2版)

Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书

Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书
想要找书就要到 本本书屋
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Irrational Exuberance 2025 pdf epub mobi 用户评价

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Behavior of all speculative markets, instability of the capitalist system

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还是没看懂~~

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后半部分有很多long run short run price movement的讨论 让我想到自己问不同公司trader他们的decision making process 哎 还是exotic/macro比较有意思

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听着席勒的Econ116,顺便也看了看他2001年唱空故事、楼市的书,果然和听他本人讲课一个路数,喋喋絮絮的段子了面讲道理,而自己不显示出过多的感情,学者风范之余有些《纽约客》式的冷幽默,。不过这本书不如《Animal Spirits》写得好,太贴近“唱空市场”,虽然罗列数据、新闻、历史,但不如前者对于市场中普通人的心理学、非理性总结、分析得那么深刻。

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