Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.
In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?
Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.
A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.
格雷厄姆的方法难度更低,但对于百亿级以下的资金量来说,收益却没有更低。就性价比来说,很明显格雷厄姆的方法更好。以巴菲特后期的资金量而言,寻找低估企业的方法容量已经不够了。大家千万不要去学后期的巴菲特,不光难度高,收益还低(巴菲特投资生涯的后半段,收益率的下...
评分这不是个完整的书评。主要是看了豆瓣上的短评觉得误解很多,所以忍不住想澄清一下。如果你只是想了解下这本书对最新增长研究的影响,可以只看 section 二,3)。 如果没时间读书,可以看Gordon 12年的 nber working paper 。 一,Brief summary of the book: 1) From Growth to...
评分格雷厄姆的方法难度更低,但对于百亿级以下的资金量来说,收益却没有更低。就性价比来说,很明显格雷厄姆的方法更好。以巴菲特后期的资金量而言,寻找低估企业的方法容量已经不够了。大家千万不要去学后期的巴菲特,不光难度高,收益还低(巴菲特投资生涯的后半段,收益率的下...
评分格雷厄姆的方法难度更低,但对于百亿级以下的资金量来说,收益却没有更低。就性价比来说,很明显格雷厄姆的方法更好。以巴菲特后期的资金量而言,寻找低估企业的方法容量已经不够了。大家千万不要去学后期的巴菲特,不光难度高,收益还低(巴菲特投资生涯的后半段,收益率的下...
评分在《理性客观派》之后,这本书让我对未来有一点淡淡的担忧。也许,我们的第一个黄金时代已经过去,而下一个黄金时代还不知道什么时候才会来。
评分按照戈登的理论,从1870年开始的一个世纪真的是个神奇的世纪,至少对美国来说是这样的。经济发展惠及每个家庭,所有人的生活水平都出现了质的飞跃,而其根源则是一系列伟大的创新。这些创新当然没有我们今天说起人工智能所感觉到的那样苦,但这些创新更实际,对每个人的影响也更大。中国在过去四十年中经历的也是这样的黄金时代,只是我们更多运用了移植而不是发明。但是,什么时候能再有这样的黄金时代?没人知道。
评分写大众生活的变化很精彩,但如果能够再聚焦、野心小点,以及最后不要一堆片汤话就好了
评分从技术进步和生活改善的角度对1870年以来的美国经济增长起落和结构变迁做了细致的梳理和分析。
评分从技术进步和生活改善的角度对1870年以来的美国经济增长起落和结构变迁做了细致的梳理和分析。
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