The Rise and Fall of American Growth 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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The Rise and Fall of American Growth 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书著者简介

Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.

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发表于2024-11-21

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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第一部分为了追求全面，所以内容都是一带而过，大篇幅的年份，数据，流水账式的叙述，比较劝退。以19世纪末20世纪初的技术变革作为基础，几十年间整个人类社会得以飞速发展。引用书里引用的台词“托托，我感觉我们已经不在堪萨斯了”，以此开始第二部分。阅读前脑测第三次工业...

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出版者:Princeton University Press

作者:Robert J. Gordon

出品人:

页数:784

译者:

出版时间:2016-1-12

价格:USD 39.95

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9780691147727

丛书系列:Princeton Economic History of the Western World

图书标签: 美国经济史经济学历史经济社会-经济史英文原版美国研究

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书图书描述

In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?

Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.

A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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这本书是颠覆性的，作者挑战现代经济增长理论的两个根本假设，消费等于生活标准(Solow56, Swan56)和技术进步(Romer86,90)。在全世界的增长大牛都在努力回应这本书的时候(acemoglu, aghion, bloom, klenow, jones, van reenen,...)，豆瓣评分7.8？

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这本书实在太长了，其实作为一篇文章更好。书很沉，每天拿着读完后，压得左手无名指和小指都疼。第一部分还好些，说的时代早些；第二部分读的很乏味。每章前后的概括和总结很啰嗦。主要结论就是某些发明创造比其它发明更重要，而重要的发明只能发明一次。1920-1970年间生产率提高很快，年化2.8%，主要是此前第二次工业革命带来的影响，而1970年后的技术进步主要集中在娱乐、通讯和信息处理，影响较窄，衣食住行、医疗、工作环境等方面的进步有限，从而导致生产率增长放缓。放眼未来，由于不平等、教育、人口结构和债务问题，未来增长会更具挑战。但这本书对过去研究很细并不表明其能预测未来。未来技术突破的程度和快慢，谁有把握能说准呢？比如在医疗方面，人类正处在攻克癌症的前夜，新的技术已不局限于上世纪50年代的了。

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技术革命

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按照戈登的理论，从1870年开始的一个世纪真的是个神奇的世纪，至少对美国来说是这样的。经济发展惠及每个家庭，所有人的生活水平都出现了质的飞跃，而其根源则是一系列伟大的创新。这些创新当然没有我们今天说起人工智能所感觉到的那样苦，但这些创新更实际，对每个人的影响也更大。中国在过去四十年中经历的也是这样的黄金时代，只是我们更多运用了移植而不是发明。但是，什么时候能再有这样的黄金时代？没人知道。

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"The I.T. revolution is less important than any one of the five Great Inventions that powered economic growth from 1870 to 1970: electricity, urban sanitation, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, the internal combustion engine and modern communication."

The Rise and Fall of American Growth 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书