Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.
In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?
Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.
A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.
1870年到1970年的百年特殊时期,大萧条和二战促进的“大跨越”奇迹 关于吃:食品法案改善了食品行业卫生条件 住:电灯,发电站,电话带来革命性变化 行:福特流水线使汽车普及速度惊人,1969年已出现波音737机型 综上:现代美国人的生活方式在1970粘已经基本定型。现在的基本生...
评分 评分洋洋洒洒一百多年的美国发展史。感觉作者写过去比写现在更精彩… 非常喜欢书中细致入微的描写美国人民上世纪初生活的零零总总,方方面面,带我认识了上个世纪初的“亚马逊”-西尔斯(刚破产), 也让我认识到那个时期美国的城市生活与我们上个世纪七八十年代的城市生活是多么地相...
评分1870—1970年是美国的“特殊世纪”,劳动生产率加速提升,人民生活水平得到改善。 1928—1950年的“大跨越”时期,美国劳动生产率在短短22年间翻了一番。 一.技术创新,大萧条和二战是促成这个经济奇迹的最重要原因。 1. 技术创新 全要素生产率的提高。主要包含了技术进步,也...
评分一部悲观现实主义美国经济学史 美国经济遇到的很多问题,分析这些问题,不仅仅对美国人有意义,整个全球经济都可能会遇到相似的挑战。那么回顾美国增长的起落,对我们有什么启示?如果美国经济增速放缓,意味着中国的经济增速早晚也会放缓,因为我们也会遇到相似的“顶头风”。狂飙突进的高速经济增长时代已经一去不复返了,再去追求过高的经济增长速度,已经没有任何意义。我们已经跑完了400米跨栏,现在比的是跑马拉松。不能再按照跑跨栏的节奏参加比赛了,未来的竞赛,比的是耐力和毅力,更重要的是要保持长期、稳定、持续和平衡的经济发展。
评分"The I.T. revolution is less important than any one of the five Great Inventions that powered economic growth from 1870 to 1970: electricity, urban sanitation, chemicals and pharmaceuticals, the internal combustion engine and modern communication."
评分写大众生活的变化很精彩,但如果能够再聚焦、野心小点,以及最后不要一堆片汤话就好了
评分读了基本论点,大致了解美国社会基本发展情况。不得不感慨,穿越个啥啊,生活在现代世界的我们如果穿越回古代,脱离了工业社会的种种便利,根本就是废柴。
评分“We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters.”
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