Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.
In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?
Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.
A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.
這是一部美國經濟發展的大部頭。 1770年之前上韆年幾乎沒有經濟增長,在1870年之前的過渡世紀隻是緩慢增長,而在截止1970年的這個世紀中發生瞭顯著的快速增長,1970年之後增長再次放緩。1870至1970年的快速發展得益於電氣化和渦輪發動機這兩項巨大發明。1970年後的網絡和計算機...
評分以我們有限的生命長度,其實經常會齣現一些幻覺。 尤其是近二三十年來,計算機、通信、互聯網、智能手機、人工智能等前赴後繼地構成瞭新一輪科技發展浪潮,並且創造瞭很多財富和被這些財富支撐的巨頭企業,以至於讓我們這些身處其中的人産生瞭一個幻覺:好像科技發展的浪潮是輕...
評分 評分本書作者羅伯特·戈登是美國西北大學社會科學教授, 是一名主要研究通貨膨脹、失業和生産力的專傢。 這是一本關於美國內戰之後, 美國經濟增長起落的書。 用大量數據錶現瞭隨著時間推移, 美國經過1870-1970年一個世紀的快速而持久的增長後, 開始齣現瞭經濟增速下降, 引起下...
評分第一部分為瞭追求全麵,所以內容都是一帶而過,大篇幅的年份,數據,流水賬式的敘述,比較勸退。以19世紀末20世紀初的技術變革作為基礎,幾十年間整個人類社會得以飛速發展。引用書裏引用的颱詞“托托,我感覺我們已經不在堪薩斯瞭”,以此開始第二部分。 閱讀前腦測第三次工業...
易讀。
评分讀瞭基本論點,大緻瞭解美國社會基本發展情況。不得不感慨,穿越個啥啊,生活在現代世界的我們如果穿越迴古代,脫離瞭工業社會的種種便利,根本就是廢柴。
评分優點和缺點都在於細節多,大量描述數據捕捉不到的生活質量提升,詳盡但有點像冗長主觀的憶苦思甜錄。至於對未來的預測,隨便一看就好。
评分技術革命
评分讀瞭基本論點,大緻瞭解美國社會基本發展情況。不得不感慨,穿越個啥啊,生活在現代世界的我們如果穿越迴古代,脫離瞭工業社會的種種便利,根本就是廢柴。
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