Robert J. Gordon is the Stanley G. Harris Professor in the Social Sciences at Northwestern University. His books include Productivity Growth, Inflation, and Unemployment and Macroeconomics. Gordon was included in the 2013 Bloomberg list of the nation's most influential thinkers.
In the century after the Civil War, an economic revolution improved the American standard of living in ways previously unimaginable. Electric lighting, indoor plumbing, home appliances, motor vehicles, air travel, air conditioning, and television transformed households and workplaces. With medical advances, life expectancy between 1870 and 1970 grew from forty-five to seventy-two years. Weaving together a vivid narrative, historical anecdotes, and economic analysis, The Rise and Fall of American Growth provides an in-depth account of this momentous era. But has that era of unprecedented growth come to an end?
Gordon challenges the view that economic growth can or will continue unabated, and he demonstrates that the life-altering scale of innovations between 1870 and 1970 can't be repeated. He contends that the nation's productivity growth, which has already slowed to a crawl, will be further held back by the vexing headwinds of rising inequality, stagnating education, an aging population, and the rising debt of college students and the federal government. Gordon warns that the younger generation may be the first in American history that fails to exceed their parents' standard of living, and that rather than depend on the great advances of the past, we must find new solutions to overcome the challenges facing us.
A critical voice in the debates over economic stagnation, The Rise and Fall of American Growth is at once a tribute to a century of radical change and a harbinger of tougher times to come.
發表於2024-12-22
The Rise and Fall of American Growth 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
這是一本比較難讀的書,裏麵匯總瞭大量的數據和圖錶,讀起來的時候需要人非常的專注,要求有很高的關注度,這種長時間的閱讀真是對自己的一種考驗,還好,斷斷續續,一章一章的,慢慢的讀完啦,還是比較要成就感。 比較起美國初期的生活條件,我們現在的生活還是幸福很多,但是...
評分 評分 評分圖書標籤: 美國 經濟史 經濟學 曆史 經濟 社會-經濟史 英文原版 美國研究
這本書實在太長瞭,其實作為一篇文章更好。書很沉,每天拿著讀完後,壓得左手無名指和小指都疼。第一部分還好些,說的時代早些;第二部分讀的很乏味。每章前後的概括和總結很囉嗦。主要結論就是某些發明創造比其它發明更重要,而重要的發明隻能發明一次。1920-1970年間生産率提高很快,年化2.8%,主要是此前第二次工業革命帶來的影響,而1970年後的技術進步主要集中在娛樂、通訊和信息處理,影響較窄,衣食住行、醫療、工作環境等方麵的進步有限,從而導緻生産率增長放緩。放眼未來,由於不平等、教育、人口結構和債務問題,未來增長會更具挑戰。但這本書對過去研究很細並不錶明其能預測未來。未來技術突破的程度和快慢,誰有把握能說準呢?比如在醫療方麵,人類正處在攻剋癌癥的前夜,新的技術已不局限於上世紀50年代的瞭。
評分技術革命
評分這本書是顛覆性的,作者挑戰現代經濟增長理論的兩個根本假設,消費等於生活標準(Solow56, Swan56)和技術進步(Romer86,90)。在全世界的增長大牛都在努力迴應這本書的時候(acemoglu, aghion, bloom, klenow, jones, van reenen,...),豆瓣評分7.8?
評分從技術進步和生活改善的角度對1870年以來的美國經濟增長起落和結構變遷做瞭細緻的梳理和分析。
評分這本書是顛覆性的,作者挑戰現代經濟增長理論的兩個根本假設,消費等於生活標準(Solow56, Swan56)和技術進步(Romer86,90)。在全世界的增長大牛都在努力迴應這本書的時候(acemoglu, aghion, bloom, klenow, jones, van reenen,...),豆瓣評分7.8?
The Rise and Fall of American Growth 2024 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載