Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书


Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition)

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Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书 著者简介

戴纳西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布,绝大多数时候都是一名漫游者,在地球各个角落的咖啡厅里冥想。他早年曾经从商,目前是纽约大学特聘教授。曾在纽约和伦敦交易多种衍生性金融商品,也曾在芝加哥当过营业厅的独立交易员。2001年2月正式成为衍生性金融商品交易战略名人堂的一员。他的作品包括《随机致富的傻瓜》和《黑天鹅》,后者曾连续一年多列位《纽约时报》畅销书榜,以31种语言出版,是一本知识、社会和文化方面的经典著作。


Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 电子书 图书目录




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发表于2024-05-29

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书



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给四星是因为作者所推崇的“科学的可证伪性”,那一星的空白权当是尊重作者本意使之“科学化”了。还是Robert Shiller的金融市场课的参考书目。课听到一半倒是把书搜出来一口气一个通宵给看完了。颠覆啊!作者不相信投资组合那套,评价巴菲特的简朴作风“毫无必要”。这里探讨...  

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给四星是因为作者所推崇的“科学的可证伪性”,那一星的空白权当是尊重作者本意使之“科学化”了。还是Robert Shiller的金融市场课的参考书目。课听到一半倒是把书搜出来一口气一个通宵给看完了。颠覆啊!作者不相信投资组合那套,评价巴菲特的简朴作风“毫无必要”。这里探讨...  

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没接触过概率论、统计学的人理应打超过三星以上,这再次体现了打分反映的是书与读书人之间的关系,而非只反映书的质量。 关于存活性偏差,可以概括为,同时在多个概率事件中发生,被当作具有普遍意义,从而产生认识上的偏差。 1旧有的事情因为存活性偏差可能不足以充当预测未...  

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出版者:Texere
作者:Nassim Nicholas Taleb
出品人:
页数:0
译者:
出版时间:2004-03-12
价格:USD 20.95
装帧:Paperback
isbn号码:9781587991844
丛书系列:

图书标签: 概率  经济投资  方法论  randomness  经济  Finance  investment/finance  fooled   


Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书 图书描述

Selected by Amazon.com and The Financial Times as one of the best business books of the year, Fooled by Randomness is an instant classic. Already published in 14 languages, the book?s title has entered our vocabulary. After reading the excitement expressed below for Fooled by Randomness one realizes that its world-wide bestseller status is no random event. This book is about luck ? or more precisely how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill ? the world of trading ? Fooled by Randomness is a captivating insight into one of the least understood factors of all our lives. Writting in an entertaining and narrative style, the author succeeds in tackling three major intellectual issues: the problem of induction, the survivorship biases, and our genetic unfitness to the modern word. In this second edition, Taleb manages to use stories and anecdotes to illustrate our overestimation of causality and the heuristics that make us view the world as far more explainable than it actually is. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the Goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared.

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书
想要找书就要到 本本书屋
立刻按 ctrl+D收藏本页
你会得到大惊喜!!

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 用户评价

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读下来让人难过,人类是追求确定性的生物,但是世界却充满了随机性。作者也没有,实际上可能没人能有什么可行的解决办法。不过现实既然如此,就应该坦然接受。本书值得再读,用以提醒自己。中文版翻译的是英文第一版,英文版已有第二版。

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Bad Writer....

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吃力读完,读懂不到一半…

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Bad Writer....

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吃力读完,读懂不到一半…

Fooled by Randomness (Second Edition) 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书


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