Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His work has been published in thirty-three languages.
发表于2024-11-02
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书
0p 脆弱的事物喜欢安宁的环境,反脆弱的事物则从混乱中成长,强韧的事物不太在意环境。 0p 反脆弱性:从冲击中受益,暴露在波动性、随机性、混乱和压力、风险和不确定性下时,反而能茁壮成长和壮大,从随机事件中获得有利结果。 0p 风会熄灭蜡烛,却能使火越烧越旺...
评分0p 脆弱的事物喜欢安宁的环境,反脆弱的事物则从混乱中成长,强韧的事物不太在意环境。 0p 反脆弱性:从冲击中受益,暴露在波动性、随机性、混乱和压力、风险和不确定性下时,反而能茁壮成长和壮大,从随机事件中获得有利结果。 0p 风会熄灭蜡烛,却能使火越烧越旺...
评分 评分写的足够好,好到我老人家继续写一次笔记。 1. 每一次飞机的失事都降低了下一次事故发生的概率,每一家银行的崩溃都提高了下一家银行崩溃的概率。 2. 要让经济具有反脆弱性,并经历所谓的变化。每个独立的企业都有必要是脆弱的。较高层级事物的反脆弱性有赖于较低级事物的脆...
评分这是我最近看到的最棒的书,用非常简单明了的理论说明了大规模灾难的根本原因,不是因为我们无法预测灾难的到来,而是因为我们没有建立足以有效应对随机波动的结构——事实上,以人类的认识水平,预测未来本身就是不可能的任务,在这方面的努力,只需漏掉一个线索,就难以阻止...
图书标签: 思维 心理学 社会学 哲学 英文原版 Taleb 经济学 美国
From the bestselling author of The Black Swan and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, a book on how some things actually benefit from disorder.
In The Black Swan Taleb outlined a problem, and in Antifragile he offers a definitive solution: how to gain from disorder and chaos while being protected from fragilities and adverse events. For what Taleb calls the “antifragile” is actually beyond the robust, because it benefits from shocks, uncertainty, and stressors, just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and tension. The antifragile needs disorder in order to survive and flourish.
Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an antifragile manner. The antifragile is immune to prediction errors. Why is the city-state better than the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is everything that is both modern and complicated bound to fail? The book spans innovation by trial and error, health, biology, medicine, life decisions, politics, foreign policy, urban planning, war, personal finance, and economic systems. And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman, Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are heard loud and clear.
Extremely ambitious and multidisciplinary, Antifragile provides a blueprint for how to behave—and thrive—in a world we don't understand, and which is too uncertain for us to even try to understand and predict. Erudite and witty, Taleb’s message is revolutionary: What is not antifragile will surely perish.
这种抽象层次较高的书籍,更多只能获得一种看问题的视角和对已有经验的总结,难以用来指导未知事物。比如身体需要不时的通过压力来得到刺激,所以我们需要锻炼。那么倒时差,或者吃垃圾食品算不算呢?
评分新神谕。三观再次被刷新。
评分写的很好,非常全面。上升到各种哲学高度。有个小limit是:如果你一直强调的是gamma,那对应的theta也需要考虑。从长期看我们都会死。
评分好有意思的书。里面有很多奥派经济学的影子,但是cover了更多方面。以后可以再读一遍。
评分第一次完整读完Taleb的书。他写的东西如果连贯起来读会觉得很罗嗦,当成独立的小杂文来读才读得下去……整个思想还是很有启发性的,可惜到最后还是没提出什么比较有建设性的解决方案。
Antifragile 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书