The Black Swan 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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The Black Swan 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书著者简介

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His work has been published in thirty-three languages.

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发表于2024-11-21

The Black Swan 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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The Black Swan 电子书读后感

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喝了一口手边的水，我反复告诫以自己：要对自己诚实，有时候直言不讳一点不见得时间坏事。《黑天鹅》的观点OK么？我相信它的观点，我觉得作者的思路也很清晰，低概率的事件不代表就是不会发生的事情，所以，我们要相信奇迹。因为，你跟我都是奇迹的代表。生命本身就是...

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写个读后感也有强迫症似得~不写老觉得这个事没干完... 这是我第一次看书时写了这么多注释~感觉不写个总结式的读后感日志~将来不方便回顾~ 以前曾有种想法~强迫自己每看完一本书然后写个读后感日志什么的~督促自己~ 但后来看的烂书实在太多~不少看过就扔真不值得一提~ 再花几个...

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本来也不该指望从畅销书中寻找什么惊为天人的洞识，我看此书的初衷也无非是学习一本畅销书该如何来撰写，以便于日后变成畅销书作家，大把赚银子来买书。如果只是为了这么一个不太高尚的目的，我想在看完之后还是有所体悟的，此书成功的关键就在于1、用一个形象化的手法表达你抖...

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『历史是由一系列稀有事件推动的』。这乍一看让人联想起被人民群众口诛笔伐的所谓精英主义，但你要仔细研究人类发展的历史，就会不得不折服于作者的论证。虽然上层建筑为了统治的需要，会通过教育向基层人民灌输什么『天才来源于人民』等诸如此类的概念作为安抚，但作者实际...

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类似图书点击查看全场最低价

出版者:Random House

作者:[美] 纳西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布

出品人:

页数:366

译者:

出版时间:2007-4-17

价格:USD 30.00

装帧:Hardcover

isbn号码:9781400063512

丛书系列:

图书标签: 金融思维思想经济社会学投资经济学 finance

The Black Swan 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书图书描述

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.

The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.

Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities.

We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.”

For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them.

Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory.

The Black Swan is a landmark book – itself a black swan.

The book also contains a 4-page glossary; 19 pages of notes; and, a 28-page bibliography in addition to an index.

The Black Swan 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书

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The Black Swan 2024 pdf epub mobi 用户评价

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My whole life depends on the fragility of a fucking swan.

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Bored me to bits.

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2007年就出版的一本书，为什么有人说国外的评价很高，但阅读起来并不那么赏心悦目？我告诉你就是翻译问题！强烈建议看原版好么！英文版看得津津有味，不得不说太棒了！薇儿偶然看过中文版几眼，那翻译岂是一个烂字了得！！书中里面充满了作者思辨式的哲学感悟和这种例子。确实是哲学、心理学、统计学和金融学的混合体。好内容太多，但若一定要用简洁的语言来总结的话，给我的感觉核心内容就是：“天机难测，淡定应对”。按照古人的说法就是，面对不确定，要“卒然临之而不惊，无故加之而不怒”。人们总是因为未知而恐惧，Taleb说未来无法预测，所有的解释都是事后诸葛亮，那么我们该如何自处呢？在我看来，这本书最根本的观点即是端正心态，把时间和精力花到该花的地方，别枉费心机去预测未来，尤其是别把所有的身家性命押在上面。

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杂志推荐书真的是不能看啊

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图书馆没座，遂抄过此书草草翻过。没有看出点在那里。

The Black Swan 2024 pdf epub mobi 电子书