Gary Smith is the Fletcher Jones Professor of Economics at Pomona College in Claremont, California. He received his Ph.D. in Economics from Yale University and taught there as Assistant Professor for seven years. He has won two teaching awards and authored more than seventy academic papers, nine textbooks, and seven educational software programs. This is his first trade book.
发表于2025-04-06
Standard Deviations 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书
人类由于两种倾向而导致认知错误: 1容易被模式、解释模式的理论所引诱。 2总有寻找支持假设的证据而忽视或曲解与假设相反的证据的倾向。 纠正这两种倾向所引起的认知错误之方法: 1常识。不寻常的说法应该有压倒性的证据支持。 2新数据。在旧数据已经支持理论的时候,再用旧数...
评分受得到App顾衡的推荐,花了几天读完了这本《简单统计学》,抱着期待去读的,最大的收获是第七章"辛普森悖论",然而作者讲得也不好,结论是我自己总结出来的。总体上并没有达到我的期望。 作者所选用的案例都挺值得思考的,他指出很多滥用统计学的错误,都很有代表性。但他所得...
评分BB:先从书名说起吧。原名是Standard Deviations,前面这个词大家都知道,就是标准,后面这个词大家不是很熟悉,是偏差,加起来大家又熟悉了,就是标准差。 AA:哦……那这个书名是什么意思? BB:标准差是统计学常用术语,原本是正规统计学中的常见现象,在这里是作为讽刺。人...
评分以前偶然看到有个豆瓣网友写道“第一次学统计学,感觉这是上帝的密码”,当时对这句话不以为然,直到看了这本书,虽然比较浅显易懂,但是仍然隐约带给了我巨大的震撼。统计学绝对是一门博大精深且充满魅力的学科,我想以后有机会还会购买相对专业和系统的图书进行阅读。 谈谈这...
评分书里说章鱼保罗08年欧洲杯6猜4中,但实际上各方数据显示是6猜5中,只有决赛错了。书中还说保罗选择过三个国家,德国、西班牙、塞尔维亚,但实际上还有一场保罗是选择了克罗地亚,书中也遗漏了…这难道没人发现?不过克罗地亚的国旗也是水平条纹,这倒进一步巩固了书中论点。本...
图书标签: 统计 科普 数学 经济 Mathematics 钓愚提到 赫尔曼·黑塞 西方哲学
Did you know that baseball players whose names begin with the letter “D” are more likely to die young? Or that Asian Americans are most susceptible to heart attacks on the fourth day of the month? Or that drinking a full pot of coffee every morning will add years to your life, but one cup a day increases the risk of pancreatic cancer? All of these “facts” have been argued with a straight face by credentialed researchers and backed up with reams of data and convincing statistics.
As Nobel Prize–winning economist Ronald Coase once cynically observed, “If you torture data long enough, it will confess.” Lying with statistics is a time-honored con. In Standard Deviations, economics professor Gary Smith walks us through the various tricks and traps that people use to back up their own crackpot theories. Sometimes, the unscrupulous deliberately try to mislead us. Other times, the well-intentioned are blissfully unaware of the mischief they are committing. Today, data is so plentiful that researchers spend precious little time distinguishing between good, meaningful indicators and total rubbish. Not only do others use data to fool us, we fool ourselves.
With the breakout success of Nate Silver’s The Signal and the Noise, the once humdrum subject of statistics has never been hotter. Drawing on breakthrough research in behavioral economics by luminaries like Daniel Kahneman and Dan Ariely and taking to task some of the conclusions of Freakonomics author Steven D. Levitt, Standard Deviations demystifies the science behind statistics and makes it easy to spot the fraud all around.
一直不喜欢励志、how to(包括某些所谓管理学图书)、技术分析、特异功能,这本书说出了其所以然。
评分一直不喜欢励志、how to(包括某些所谓管理学图书)、技术分析、特异功能,这本书说出了其所以然。
评分一直不喜欢励志、how to(包括某些所谓管理学图书)、技术分析、特异功能,这本书说出了其所以然。
评分一直不喜欢励志、how to(包括某些所谓管理学图书)、技术分析、特异功能,这本书说出了其所以然。
评分一直不喜欢励志、how to(包括某些所谓管理学图书)、技术分析、特异功能,这本书说出了其所以然。
Standard Deviations 2025 pdf epub mobi 电子书