Scott E. Page is the Leonid Hurwicz Collegiate Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics at the University of Michigan and an external faculty member of the Santa Fe Institute.
From the stock market to genomics laboratories, census figures to marketing email blasts, we are awash with data. But as anyone who has ever opened up a spreadsheet packed with seemingly infinite lines of data knows, numbers aren’t enough: we need to know how to make those numbers talk. In The Model Thinker, social scientist Scott E. Page shows us the mathematical, statistical, and computational models–from linear regression to random walks and far beyond–that can turn anyone into a genius. At the core of the book is Page’s “many-model paradigm,” which shows the reader how to apply multiple models to organize the data, leading to wiser choices, more accurate predictions, and more robust designs. The Model Thinker provides a toolkit for business people, students, scientists, pollsters, and bloggers to make them better, clearer thinkers, able to leverage data and information to their advantage.
發表於2025-02-25
The Model Thinker 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載
這本書讓我認識到瞭模型的巨大魅力和價值,讀此書之前,我以為模型就是一些範式,是對復雜現實的簡化模仿,具有預測意義。讀完一遍後,纔發覺之前理解的淺薄,我們太容易掉入直覺思維的陷阱,直覺強大到明明我們沒有任何證據去證實但是卻又無比堅信我們的主張,這便是直覺。直...
評分 評分翻譯的人估計真的沒學過統計學……什麼時候翻譯成方差、什麼時候翻譯成變異性分不清楚不說,翻譯成變差是什麼鬼?看瞭公式纔搞明白是什麼…… 我就想順順當當看中文,非逼著人中英文對照著看,鬧不鬧心!看到中心極限定理的翻譯真的怒瞭,忍不住不吐槽!什麼叫做“方差都是有限...
評分這本書讓我認識到瞭模型的巨大魅力和價值,讀此書之前,我以為模型就是一些範式,是對復雜現實的簡化模仿,具有預測意義。讀完一遍後,纔發覺之前理解的淺薄,我們太容易掉入直覺思維的陷阱,直覺強大到明明我們沒有任何證據去證實但是卻又無比堅信我們的主張,這便是直覺。直...
評分圖書標籤: 思維 方法論 數據科學 英文原版 ModelThinking 認知 邏輯&數學 心理學
得到上萬維鋼解讀過,好書
評分浙江人民齣版社的翻譯太爛瞭 我來投奔原版瞭 暢快!
評分現有人類最佳的思維工具,需要反復讀,反復吸收內化。
評分得到上萬維鋼解讀過,好書
評分看完一半。巨細無遺,用通俗的道理解釋瞭許多統計學,工程,經濟學的概念和現象
The Model Thinker 2025 pdf epub mobi 電子書 下載